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The prediction on Polymarket of "Musk creating a new political party by the end of this year" is currently at 42%.

8 hours ago

On July 4th, based on the data from official websites, the probability on Polymarket for predicting "Musk will establish a new political party by the end of this year" is reported to be 42%; on Kalshi, the probability of predicting "Musk will create a new political party within this year" is currently 35%. Musk stated on July 1st that if the "Beautiful Bill" is passed, he will set up a new political party in the United States the following day. Trump's "Beautiful Bill" was passed by the House of Representatives this morning and is scheduled to be signed at 5 am on Saturday. In addition, Musk launched a poll on social media on June 6th: "Is it the right time to create a new political party in the United States that truly represents the middle 80% group?" The poll results showed that 5,630,775 users participated, and 80.4% of the users chose to support.
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China Minmetals: The Group and its subsidiaries have never directly engaged in international gold or Bitcoin financial management businesses.

July 4th. The A-share listed company, China Minmetals Corporation, officially announced on its public account that recently, it was discovered that illegal activities were being carried out using the name of China Minmetals and its subsidiaries to conduct activities and sell products. As a result, China Minmetals has verified the relevant situation and found that its subsidiaries do not include the Minmetals North Marketing Center or the Minmetals New Energy Industry Group. China Minmetals has no affiliation with the "leaders" of the aforementioned entities. China Minmetals and its subsidiaries have never directly conducted international gold or Bitcoin wealth management business through web pages or WeChat public accounts.

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Greeks.Live: Market Sentiment Shows a Neutral to Cautious Bias, Trading in a Narrow Range

On July 4th, the analyst Adam of GreekLive released the daily market brief, indicating that the overall market sentiment is neutral with a cautious tendency. Traders generally hold the view that the current market is in a narrow range consolidation stage, and there is a clear downtrend in IV. The community has reached a consensus that the performance of the positive vega strategy is not good. In the current low-volatility environment, the negative vega strategy has higher cost-effectiveness. The positive Vega strategy refers to traders constructing an options portfolio to have an overall positive Vega in order to profit from the increase in implied volatility. The negative vega strategy is the opposite.

3 minutes ago

USDC Treasury has minted an additional 5.5 billion USDC on the Solana blockchain in the second quarter.

On July 4th, according to SolanaFloor data, during the second quarter, the USDC Treasury on the Solana chain added a total of 5.5 billion USDC by means of minting.

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Hong Kong Treasury Official Simon Yiu: Stablecoin Issuers Licensing Regime Will Drive Substantive Use Case Development

July 4th. During the 2025 Hong Kong Digital Finance Awards ceremony today, Christopher Hui, the Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury of Hong Kong, declared that Hong Kong is actively driving the development of digital assets. A regulatory system has been gradually formulated to strike a balance between risk management, investor protection, and industry expansion, facilitating the sustainable growth of Hong Kong's digital asset ecosystem. Christopher Hui pointed out that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange has created the first batch of digital asset indices in Hong Kong, offering investors a transparent and reliable price benchmark for Bitcoin and Ethereum in the Asian time zone and supporting Hong Kong's development as a leading digital asset hub in Asia. The upcoming licensing regime for stablecoin issuers, which will commence next month, will contribute to the advancement of practical use cases and support Hong Kong's growth as a leading digital asset hub in Asia. (Sina Finan

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Roam eSIM Alipay Top-up, Participate in Staking to Receive Global eSIM Data Allowance

On July 4th, Roam announced several feature upgrades. These include: · Adjustment of the Reverse Burn Mechanism: The conversion rate between $ROAM tokens and points will be calculated based on the average conversion rate of the last 50 periods instead of the previous single-period conversion rate. This new mechanism will further safeguard the long-term interests of Roam community retail investors and the healthy development of the project. · Support for eSIM Alipay Payment: Roam Global / Premium eSIM now enables Alipay top-ups. Users can purchase data services within the app and complete the payment using Alipay, making the purchase process more convenient and the experience more seamless. · Update of the Lock-up Rule: The Roam App has adjusted the lock-up incentive rules. Participating in $ROAM lock-up will earn users universal eSIM data. For example, locking up 1000 ROAM tokens will grant 5GB of data after one period (28 days); locking up 2000 $ROAM will get 12GB; and locking up 4

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Japanese Digital Bank Minna Chooses Solana and Fireblocks to Conduct Stablecoin Application Research

On July 4th, as per CoinDesk, Minna Bank in Japan declared a research partnership with Solana, Fireblocks, and TIS to examine how stablecoins and Web3 wallets are transforming Japanese consumer finance. This joint research will center around use cases like payments, on-chain banking infrastructure, and user experiences that are customized for Japan's population with a mobile-first approach. Minna Bank, a subsidiary of Fukuoka Financial Group, mainly caters to a customer base consisting of young people aged 15-39, a demographic that is frequently overlooked by traditional banks.

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