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The probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 71.3%, reigniting rate cut bets.

1 hours ago

On November 22nd, based on CME's "FedWatch" data, the likelihood of the Fed implementing a 25-basis-point rate cut in December has increased to 71.3%. Following several Fed officials adopting a dovish stance today, the wager on a December rate cut has once again heated up. Previously, the probability of a rate cut once dropped below 30%. The probability of rates remaining unchanged in December is 8.2%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged until January 2026 is 19.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 57.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut is 23.7%. The dates of the Fed's next two FOMC meetings are December 10th and January 28th, 2026.
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Bitcoin Surges Above $85,000, US Stock Market's Three Major Indexes Rally Over 1%

On November 22nd, based on HTX market data, Bitcoin experienced a rebound and surpassed $85,000. The 24-hour decrease narrowed to 2.9%. According to market data, all three major U.S. stock indexes have turned upward, with gains of more than 1%.

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Bitcoin Bounces Back, Surges Beyond $84,000, 24-hour Loss Narrows to 4.5%

On November 22nd, according to HTX market data, Bitcoin rebounded and rose above $84,000. The 24-hour decline was narrowed to 4.5%.

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Forbes: WLFI Reserve Company ALT5 Sigma to Be Investigated for Violating SEC Disclosure Rules

On November 22nd, as per Forbes, the partner of the Trump family's crypto project "World Liberty Financial", WLFI Reserve Company ALT5 Sigma stated in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that its CEO was officially suspended on October 16th. However, internal emails indicate that the company's board had actually placed him on "administrative leave" as early as September 4th. Several securities regulatory experts have signaled that this significant difference in timing may have violated disclosure rules. The same email also revealed that Chief Revenue Officer Vay Tham was placed on leave simultaneously because a special committee of the board was investigating "certain matters related to the company". According to SEC regulations, a public company must disclose within 4 business days of a significant change in the executive's actual cessation of duties (Form 8-K). Intentionally submitting false or misleading information by the company may constitute a

1 hours ago

LeverageShares to Launch 3x Long/Short Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF in Europe

On November 22nd, the London-based ETF issuer LeverageShares is scheduled to launch the world's first 3x Long/Short Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF in Europe next week. Four new products (Bitcoin 3x Long, Bitcoin 3x Short, Ethereum 3x Long, Ethereum 3x Short) will be listed on the Swiss SIX Exchange, further expanding the company's existing leveraged product range.

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There will be no CPI release in October, and the November CPI will be published on December 18th.

On November 22, the U.S. Department of Labor: The October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will not be made available, and the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be released on December 18. (Golden Ten)

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Analysis: Caution is advised around the $82,000 long position lifeline. If breached, market makers will sell spot to hedge, potentially accelerating the downturn.

On November 21st, on-chain data analyst Murphy issued a warning. According to Bitcoin's Unrealized PNL Distribution (URPD), the real largest sell-off range in the past three days was within the price range of $88,000 - $89,000, with a total of 64,334 BTC sold. The most stacked chip range did not witness a large amount of selling. Currently, the market downturn is mainly attributed to the "whale dumping" of chips purchased at recent highs, while profit-taking chips and high trapped chips are not the main sellers. The analyst believes that some of the sell-off is due to short-term/high-frequency funds being forced to liquidate, but the more significant reason is the trading mechanism of derivatives market makers amplifying short-term volatility. The Options Net Premium Heatmap indicates that there is a large amount of Put selling in the current $82,000 to $87,000 range. When BTC approaches $82,000, market makers are forced to buy BTC due to the trading mechanism in order to establish a

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