《Time》 Person of the Year to be Revealed Soon, Whale Manipulation on Polymarket Causes Fluctuation in Top Contender

December 5 – Per PolyBeats monitoring, Time’s annual Person of the Year is typically unveiled on the second Wednesday or Thursday of December. On Polymarket, the "AI" option’s probability had steadily risen to a peak of 54%, while runner-up Jensen Huang fell to 17%. But starting yesterday, these two frontrunners saw a dramatic reversal: AI’s probability dropped to 38%, and Huang surged to 32%. Given the sensitive pre-announcement window, such sharp fluctuations have sparked insider trading suspicions. The reversal’s catalyst was anomalous activity from trader goingsocial: the user suddenly market-sold 25% of their "AI Yes" position—one they’d been accumulating for three days. This unusual move led markets to bet AI would not win, redirecting funds to Huang (widely viewed as a key driver of the AI trend) and pushing his probability higher. Notably, the trader’s position in this market is valued at over $70,000—far exceeding their previous average position size of $1,600. Adding to the intrigue: after cutting the AI position, goingsocial began accumulating unpopular options, sending their probabilities up nearly 100% in a short time. The trader is currently continuing to add to these positions.