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Next Week Outlook: Fed Rate Cut a 'Done Deal,' Hawk-Dove Debate in the Spotlight

2 hours ago

December 6: Next week’s final FOMC meeting of the year is drawing intense focus, with the hawk-dove debate front and center. The Fed will announce its interest rate decision at 3:00 AM UTC+8 Thursday (14:00 ET Wednesday), followed by Chair Jerome Powell’s monetary policy press conference at 3:30 AM UTC+8 Thursday (14:30 ET Wednesday). Per CME FedWatch, markets price an 84% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut next week. The meeting is expected to be one of the most contentious in recent years, with investors watching for policymakers’ divergent views on rate cut outlooks and Powell’s signals on future policy direction. Of the 12 FOMC voting members: - 5 oppose or are skeptical of further monetary easing - 3 support a rate cut No FOMC meeting since 2019 has seen three or more dissenting votes, making dissenters a key watchpoint. ### Key Macro Data & Events - **Tuesday**: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate decision; RBA Governor Philip Lowe press conference. - **Wednesday**: US Q3 Employment Cost Index (q/q); Bank of Canada (BoC) rate decision. - **Thursday**: **FOMC rate decision + economic projections summary; Powell press conference** US Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Dec 6) - **Friday**: Fed releases Q3 2025 US Household Financial Health Data FOMC voter/Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker: 2026 economic outlook speech FOMC voter/Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester: speech Chicago Fed President Charles Evans: moderated discussion at Chicago Fed’s 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium ### Market Closure Reminder - **Tuesday, Dec 25**: NYSE closes early at 2:00 AM Beijing time (1:00 PM ET Dec 24) - **Thursday**: US stocks, several European markets, KOSPI, ASX closed; CME precious metals, crude oil, forex, stock index futures + ICE Brent crude futures suspended all day
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Bitunix Analyst: PCE Slightly Dovish Turn Boosts Rate Cut Expectations, BTC Holds $89K to Enter Key Rebound Window

December 6th The U.S. released delayed September PCE inflation data yesterday: core PCE year-over-year hit 2.8%—a five-month low, slightly below market forecasts. That gives the Fed more leeway to cut rates at its December meeting. Overall, inflation’s showing a “slowing but not fully tamed” trend. Markets are now betting on a “soft landing” scenario: the U.S. dollar index keeps sliding, U.S. Treasury yields are falling, and U.S. stocks are extending a modest rally. But the crypto market has decoupled from equities. Bitcoin briefly dipped to roughly $87k after the data drop, swinging 3% over 24 hours. This was driven mainly by options expirations, MicroStrategy-related pressure, and Asian market volatility—not inflation itself. Major coins pulled back in sync, but BTC ETFs still saw net inflows of nearly $60 million. That signals institutional buying hasn’t faded, and market panic has eased from extreme levels to neutral territory. In the short term, BTC’s key support zone is

3 minutes ago

Financial services group Clear Street is planning to go public as early as January 2026.

Dec. 6 DLNews reports that U.S. financial services firm Clear Street intends to go public as early as January 2026. In recent years, Clear Street has emerged as a top underwriter of cryptocurrency-linked stock offerings, providing services for several "Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) firms"—including multiple offerings for Strategy and acting as underwriter for Trump Media & Technology Group.

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Genesis Block: Minting tokens from a tweet is a community-driven initiative, and users should be aware of the investment risks

On December 6, Binance Co-CEO He Yi noted in a post: - Binance’s official Twitter account’s identity and content posting are at the account manager’s discretion. - Binance employees are prohibited from participating in the issuance or promotion of any token projects. - Tokens launched by the community based on Binance’s official tweets, personal statements, or terms extracted from posts are community-driven and not endorsed by Binance. - Binance will not stop tweeting just because some users may try to find a loophole. Additionally: Misinterpretation of expressions is inevitable. Encouraging employees to innovate and experiment applies only to their daily work and has no connection to any token projects. Please be aware of investment risks. #DYOR

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Data: Euro Stablecoin Market Cap Has Nearly Doubled in the Past Year, Reaching Approximately $683 Million

December 6th. Per CoinGecko data, the total market cap of euro stablecoins has doubled since the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) went into effect one year ago, currently sitting at roughly $683 million. That said, there’s still a massive gap compared to USD stablecoins, which hold a combined market cap of over $300 billion. The 2025 Euro Stablecoin Trend Report from London-based payments firm Decta notes recent growth has been concentrated in a handful of top tokens. For example: - EURS’s market cap is up 6.44%; - Circle’s EURC and Societe Generale’s EURCV have seen notable gains, with trading volumes jumping 1139% and 343% respectively. Search interest in euro stablecoins has surged across the EU: Finland’s is up 400%, Italy’s 313.3%, while Cyprus and Slovakia have seen smaller but steady growth.

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OKX's FlashEarn will list Midnight (NIGHT) and launch a limited-time "Christmas Surprise Pool", where participants can share 420 million NIGHT through subscription.

December 6 — According to official sources, OKX’s FlashEarn program will launch support for Midnight (NIGHT) in its upcoming round. This round features five pools, each holding 80,000,000 NIGHT. The subscription window runs from 4:00 PM UTC+8 on December 9, 2025, to 4:00 PM UTC+8 on December 11, 2025. Users can subscribe using OKB, USDT, BTC, ETH, or ADA, with a minimum participation of 100 USDT. Subscription limits increase with user tier, ranging from Regular users up to VIP7+. A total of 400,000,000 NIGHT in rewards will be distributed, consisting of new coin airdrops and EarnCoin interest. Additionally, a special “Christmas Surprise Pool” has been added to reward long-term FlashEarn participants who lock funds. This pool is active from 4:00 PM UTC+8 on December 9, 2025, to 11:59 PM UTC+8 on December 24, 2025. Eligible users are those whose net deposit of the corresponding staked token equals at least 500 USDT (valued in USDT based on the market price on the final day of Ev

3 minutes ago

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 Update: Grok 4.20 Dominates the Competition, Musk Praises His Trading Skills

**Alpha Arena Season 1.5 Update (As of December 6th)** Launched November 20th, Alpha Arena’s latest season has only one profitable AI model among its eight major participants: Grok 4.20. The rest are in the red, with Grok 4 at the bottom posting a -53.39% return. Today, Elon Musk retweeted a post hailing Grok 4.20 as “the best quant trader,” adding, “Looks like we finally found a way to cover the cost of all those GPUs, haha.” Current returns for the eight models: - Grok 4.20: +22.38% - GPT-5.1: -2.29% - GEMINI-3-PRO: -25.74% - DeepSeek-3.1: -29.16% - Kimi 2: -29.93% - Thousand Questions 3-MAX: -31.9% - Claude-sonnet-4-5: -35.08% - Grok 4: -53.39% **Season 1.5 Format**: Models compete in multiple themed matches, live-trading U.S. stock tokens on trade.xyz. All models in the same match receive identical inputs.

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