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The 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises to a Three-Month High, Analysts Say Gain Limited Post-Fed Meeting

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**December 10: 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Rises to 4.209% (Highest Since Early September)** Markets are awaiting the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and economic projections. While investors widely expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points, there’s concern the central bank may signal limited room for further rate cuts ahead. Analysts at TD Securities anticipate the Fed will indicate future rate cuts will hinge on economic data—but the U.S. rate market has largely priced in this stance already. As such, analysts note that if yields continue to climb post-announcement, the increase will likely be limited, and yields could edge lower soon after. (FXStreet)
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Federal Reserve's Year-End Showdown: "Hawkish Rate Cut" Virtually a Done Deal

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Jamie Dimon: Fed's Next Rate Cut May Be Smaller Than Market Expects

On December 10, Morgan Stanley Investment Management said in its outlook report that the current yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond—approaching 4%—may be too low relative to the U.S. economic outlook. The firm expects increasingly strong tailwinds for U.S. economic growth in 2026. “Stronger growth paired with stubborn inflation will likely result in the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates less than markets currently price in over the next 12 to 18 months,” the firm noted. Against this backdrop, Morgan Stanley Investment Management has taken an underweight stance on U.S. bonds. (Golden Finance)

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