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Morgan Stanley: U.S. 'No Job Productivity Boom' Will Prompt Fed to Further Cut Rates

2 hours ago

On December 25, a Morgan Stanley strategist noted the U.S. economy could be heading for a "jobless productivity-driven boom"—one that would cool inflation and clear the way for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts. U.S. Labor Department data shows year-over-year hourly output growth for all nonfarm workers hit 3.3% in the second quarter, a sharp improvement from the 1.8% annual decline in the prior quarter. Investors’ expectations for the pace of Fed rate cuts next year are more aggressive than the central bank’s official forecasts. Per the CME FedWatch Tool, Fed officials project just one rate cut by 2026, but investors see a 72% probability of a year-end rate cut (source: FXStreet).
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Ethereum Whale Bought 220,000 ETH in the Past Week

On December 25th, on-chain analyst @alicharts reported that an Ethereum whale has purchased 220,000 ETH over the past week, with the holdings valued at roughly $660 million.

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Polymarket Prediction: Probability of "Bitcoin Breaking $80,000 in December" Drops to 9%

On December 25th, Polymarket’s current probabilities for Bitcoin’s December price moves are: 9% chance of falling below $80,000, 3% chance of dropping below $75,000, and 10% chance of surpassing $95,000.

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Tron's daily Perps Volume has topped $1B for two days straight, and 7-day Perps Volume reached $5.77B, up 176% WoW.

On-chain Perps Volume is cooling off during the market downturn — except on Tron. Tron's daily Perps Volume has topped $1B for two days straight, and 7-day Perps Volume reached $5.77B, up 176% WoW.

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Infinex Founder Responds to "Reduction of INX Token Sale Amount and FDV": ICO Should Have Been Sufficiently Attractive, Previous Pricing Seen as High in Current Market Environment

On December 25, Infinex founder Kain Warwick took to social media to address the reduction in INX token sale proceeds and fully diluted valuation (FDV), saying: “The ICO was supposed to be attractive enough. If the price seems too steep or terms don’t align with backers’ interests, it could easily spark negative sentiment—and the market’s already drowning in ‘bad vibes’ right now.” We launched the Sonar round to give participants a chance to buy INX tokens before the Token Generation Event (TGE). Initially, we set the FDV at $3 billion with a 1-year lockup—but market feedback made clear this valuation was too high for current conditions, and conditions haven’t improved. We’ve listened to the community, so we’re cutting the FDV to $99.99 million. The 1-year lockup is meant to weed out participants who only plan to dump tokens for a quick profit at TGE. As previously reported, Infinex has updated its Sonar token sale details on Echo. The sale will offer 5% of total token supply,

17 minutes ago

Analysis: Tomorrow's historically largest options expiration may amplify BTC volatility, with a potential rebound opportunity if BTC falls to $80,000-$82,000.

On December 25, data analyst Murphy noted that roughly $23.6 billion in Bitcoin options are set to expire tomorrow—marking the largest options expiry in Bitcoin’s history. After market makers unwind their associated hedge positions, the support and resistance levels previously established via the options structure will temporarily lose validity, potentially amplifying BTC’s short-term volatility until all participants reposition to form a new market structure. If BTC retraces toward its prior bottom (around $80,000–$82,000) during this period, it would create a “short-term rebound opportunity.” Volatility in the structural vacuum phase does not necessarily signal the start of a new sharp decline. Additionally, a “bullish divergence” signal has emerged on the short-term timeframe for the “price and volume increment gradient.” This metric measures the relative momentum shift between BTC’s price action and actual capital inflows. When the rate of capital outflow slows relative

17 minutes ago

During the Christmas period, mainstream Perp DEX liquidity is low, tomorrow may be the last reward distribution before Lighter goes live

**Perpetual DEX Trading Volume Drops Sharply Again: DefiLlama Data** As of December 25th, DefiLlama figures show mainstream perpetual DEX (Perp DEX) 24-hour trading volumes have fallen sharply again from the previous day. Lighter, which plans to launch its mainnet and issue tokens by December 31st, may conduct its final token distribution this Friday—potentially keeping its trading volume among the top tiers. Hyperliquid ranks second, while open interest (OI) has seen a slight uptick across most platforms. Key Perp DEX metrics follow: - **Lighter**: 24h volume ~$50.4B | TVL ~$14.1B | OI ~$15.5B - **Hyperliquid** ([app.hyperliquid.xyz/join/NTOD](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/join/NTOD)): 24h volume ~$35B | TVL ~$41.3B | OI ~$72.6B - **Aster** ([www.asterdex.com/zh-CN/referral/aboter](https://www.asterdex.com/zh-CN/referral/aboter)): 24h volume ~$28.5B | TVL ~$12.7B | OI ~$24.3B - **EdgeX**: 24h volume ~$18.7B | TVL ~$3.68B | OI ~$7.61B - **ApeX**: 24h volume ~$17.6B | T

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