Galaxy 2026 Prediction: The US Will Launch Over 50 Shitcoin ETFs, SEC to Face Lawsuits for Being Too Lenient
On January 3, Galaxy Digital’s research team released its 2026 outlook, noting Bitcoin remains on track to hit a new all-time high next year.
Options markets currently imply roughly equal odds of Bitcoin reaching $70k or $130k by June 2026, and $50k or $250k by year-end 2026—wide ranges reflecting near-term uncertainty. Downside risks persist until Bitcoin firmly reclaims the $100k–$105k level, though Galaxy Digital expects the token to hit $250k by end-2027.
Key additional predictions include:
- No Solana inflation cut proposal will pass in 2026; the current SIMD-0411 proposal will be withdrawn without a vote.
- The ratio of application revenue to network revenue will double.
- The SEC will face lawsuits from traditional market participants or industry groups over its innovation exemption framework.
- A major bank or brokerage will accept tokenized stocks as collateral.
- Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) will capture over 25% of total spot trading volume.
- Polymarket’
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A whale has started to reallocate holdings from ETH to BTC after 4 years of holding.
On January 3rd, on-chain data analyst Wu Jinyan detected that a whale holding ETH for 4 years has swapped ETH for BTC today.
The whale has sold 14,145 ETH (valued at ~$44.3 million) in exchange for 492 WBTC, with an exchange rate of 0.03478 and an average cost of $90,014 per WBTC.
Four years ago (early 2022), the address withdrew and hoarded 22,344 ETH (valued at ~$65.15 million) from exchanges including Kraken, Bitfinex, and Poloniex, at an average withdrawal price of $2,916 per ETH.
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Aave Labs has committed to sharing protocol-generated revenue with token holders, AAVE surges over 10% in 24 hours
On January 3rd, Aave founder Stani Kulechov took to the project’s official governance forum to announce that Aave Labs is committing to sharing protocol-generated revenue with token holders amid recent community discussions.
“Alignment of interests is critical for both Aave Labs and AAVE token holders,” Kulechov noted, adding that an official proposal outlining the specific mechanics will be released soon. The upcoming proposal will lay out a framework to support this long-term vision while fully safeguarding the DAO and AAVE token holders.
Per HTX market data, AAVE has surged 10.69% over the past 24 hours—likely driven by this news and the broader market rotation rally—currently trading at $165.
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US Crypto Stocks Rally at Start of Year, BMNR Up 14.88%, NAKA Up 16.26%
**January 3rd Market Brief**
U.S. major stock indexes closed mixed on the first trading day of the new year:
- Dow Jones Industrial Average: +0.66%
- S&P 500 Index: +0.19%
- Nasdaq Composite: -0.03%
Cryptocurrency-related stocks posted broad gains, with key moves including:
- Coinbase (COIN): +4.59%
- Circle (CRCL): +5.26%
- MicroStrategy (MSTR): +3.43%
- Bullish (BLSH): +3.67%
- Gemini (GEMI): +4.44%
- Bitfarms (BMNR): +14.88%
- Score Milk Gaming (SBET): +8.39%
- Bit Digital (BTBT): +7.94%
- ETHZilla (ETHZ): +4.29%
- BTCS Inc (BTCS): +8.71%
- ALT5 Sigma (ALTS): +10%
- American Bitcoin (ABTC): +4.71%
- Kindly MD (NAKA): +16.26%
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Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index Rises to 28, 'Fear' Sentiment Further Eases
Jan. 3 – Per Alternative Data, the cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index is 29 today, up from 28 yesterday, signaling a further easing of market fear sentiment.
Note: The index ranges from 0 to 100, with components including:
- Volatility (25%)
- Market Trading Volume (25%)
- Social Media Hype (15%)
- Market Sentiment (15%)
- Bitcoin Dominance (10%)
- Google Trends (10%)
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The continued rotation trend of established meme and shitcoins, with ENA, ADA, SUI surging over 10% in the last 24 hours
On January 3rd, per HTX market data, as Bitcoin climbed above the $90,000 resistance level, old-school altcoins and meme coins continued their rotation, with these notable 24-hour moves:
? WIF: +17.4% 24h, now trading at $0.329
? RENDER: +13.82% 24h, now trading at $1.524
? IOTA: +13% 24h, now trading at $0.0934
? ENA: +12.84% 24h, now trading at $0.2353
? ADA: +11.68% 24h, now trading at $0.39
? ONDO: +11.57% 24h, now trading at $0.4187
? JTO: +11.36% 24h, now trading at $0.451
? VIRTUAL: +11% 24h, now trading at $0.752
? EIGEN: +10.86% 24h, now trading at $0.398
? PUMP: +10% 24h, now trading at $0.002236
? SUI: +10% 24h, now trading at $1.576
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