Coinbase Bitcoin Price Premium Index has been in negative premium for 17 consecutive days, currently at -0.1011%.

December 31st: On-chain analyst Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa) reported that a trader purchased 3,000 call options contracts on Deribit—expiring January 30, 2026, with a $100,000 strike price—paying a total premium of $2.86 million. If held to expiry, the trader would incur a loss if BTC fails to exceed $100,953.67 that day, while a full loss of the $2.86 million premium would result if BTC does not rise above $100,000. (Profits may also be taken at any time if BTC rallies.)

On December 31st, Multicoin Co-Founder Kyle Samani—who chairs the board of Forward Industries (FORD)—posted: "Manus feels like the first time a Generalized Agent has real-world viability. Bringing zkTLS to Manus would be a massive opportunity."

On December 31st, Forbes reported that analysts expect a 2026 Federal Reserve rate cut and ongoing U.S. dollar weakness to push Bitcoin prices higher. Dollar data shows the greenback fell nearly 10% in 2025—its largest annual decline since 2017. ING Chief International Economist James Knightley noted the Fed is currently in an accommodative stance. Meanwhile, Polymarket pegs the probability of a rate cut before June 2026 at 96%. Former President Trump has signaled he may replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell in January 2026 to further lower the central bank’s current 3.5%-3.75% interest rate range. Experts at Unchained and Clear Street argue looser monetary policy will position Bitcoin as a top beneficiary of dollar depreciation, making it a key driver of crypto market growth in 2026.

December 31 – Per monitoring from HyperInsight (Telegram: @HyperInsight), below are key whale rebalancing trends between 10:00 AM and 8:00 PM today: ### Bullish Camp - Huang Licheng (aka “Brother Ma Ji”) reduced his 25x-leveraged ETH long position to 8,500 coins, with an unrealized profit of $119,000. - The “Die-Hard Bull” whale (0x10a3c) closed long positions on ETH, SOL, UNI, and PUMP, then opened new long positions on BTC and FARTCOIN—incurring a floating loss of $153,000. ### Bearish Camp - The “Ultimate Bear” whale (0x5d2f4) trimmed its LIT short position, lowering its average entry price to $2.8; it still holds a 20x-leveraged short of 499.9 BTC (~$44.2 million). - The “Shanzhai Short Leader” boosted its LIT short position to $6.26 million, now the largest on-chain LIT short position. - The “Long-to-Short” whale shorted $70.72 million worth of BTC (20x leverage) and opened a $16.71 million ETH long hedge; total unrealized loss: $240,000.

On December 31, per Onchain Lens data, a whale that previously offloaded 255 BTC has shorted TRUMP tokens with 10x leverage. The position is valued at $500,000, with an entry price of $4.9361.

On December 31st, CertiK Alert monitoring data shows the cryptocurrency industry incurred roughly $1.178 billion in losses from vulnerability attacks in December. Of that total, phishing attacks accounted for around $93.4 million, with approximately $51.8 million of those phishing losses linked to address spoofing.