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Next Week Outlook: Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate Data Released, Escalation of Middle East Conflict Spurs Risk-off Sentiment

2 hours ago

As of March 1, U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions are set to introduce significant variables next week, with global markets poised to swing amid high uncertainty and risk aversion. ### Key U.S. Macro Events Next Week: - **Monday 22:45**: U.S. February Final Markit Manufacturing PMI - **Monday 23:00**: U.S. February ISM Manufacturing PMI - **Wednesday 21:15**: U.S. February ADP Employment Change - **Thursday 03:00**: Federal Reserve releases Beige Book - **Thursday 20:30**: U.S. February Challenger Job Cuts - **Thursday 21:30**: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Feb 28 week) + U.S. January Import Price Index (month-over-month) - **Friday 21:30**: U.S. February Unemployment Rate, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) + January Retail Sales (month-over-month) ### U.S. Stock Market Update: Latest data shows the Nasdaq Composite has failed to notch a new high for four straight months, while both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted their worst monthly performance since March last year. This signals deep investor doubt over AI’s ability to translate into tangible profits, as Wall Street navigates a tech-driven volatility storm.
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Dubai Air Defense Force intercepts drone, explosions heard consecutively, missile lands in urban area

March 1 — The Dubai Media Office reported two drones flying over two residential areas in Dubai were intercepted by air defense forces, with debris falling and injuring two people. Earlier that morning (local time), multiple explosions struck Dubai in succession. Local residents captured footage of missiles hitting the city. The United Arab Emirates’ defense system intercepted multiple missiles over Dubai the same day, per Jinse.

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Musk Retweets Old Post in Response to Allegation Linking Him to Khamenei

**March 1 Update** Elon Musk on Wednesday retweeted his Jan. 4 Persian-language reply to a Jan. 3 tweet from the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, adding: "That's how it is." Khamenei’s original Jan. 3 post stated: "We will never yield to the enemy." Musk’s Jan. 4 response was: "A foolish fantasy."

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A whale went long on Bitcoin 40x leverage after the official announcement of Soleimani's assassination, with a liquidation price of $66,559

AI Monitor reported that at 10:30 AM ET on March 1, address 0xdf1...6f0b0 opened a 1,000 BTC 40x long position shortly after the official announcement of Iran Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s assassination. The position’s entry price is $67,167, with a liquidation price of $66,559—just $390 below its current level, resulting in a floating loss of $228,900. The same address also holds a 20x long SOL position, currently showing a floating profit of $810,000. Its total historical profit stands at $775,300.

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Iran has confirmed the death of its Armed Forces Chief of Staff, Major General Bagheri

March 1 (CCTV News) — Iran has confirmed that its Armed Forces Chief of Staff, Major General Mohammad Bagheri, has died.

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Dubai Port Hit by Iran Attack, Engulfed in Flames

March 1 – An Iranian attack struck infrastructure and landmarks in the United Arab Emirates, triggering a large fire at Dubai’s port, according to a Wall Street Journal report.

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Market News: Three Loud Bangs Heard in Dubai

**Breaking: 3 Explosions, Attacks Target Dubai on March 1** According to initial reports, Dubai was hit by three loud explosions on March 1. Local time around 1:30 a.m. on March 1, the northeast side of Dubai’s Burj Al Arab was targeted in an attack, sparking a fire. Guests were asleep when the blast struck, jolted awake by the loud explosion and strong shockwave. They evacuated via emergency exits, and thick smoke filled the hotel lobby. The fire has since been extinguished. Earlier this morning, Iranian drones targeted Dubai International Airport. The airport is currently undergoing evacuation procedures, all flights have been canceled, and Dubai airspace is closed.

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