X Platform Paid Partnership Policy Update: Cryptocurrency, Investment Services, etc. Not in Compliance with Promotion Criteria

As of March 1, the probability of Bitcoin dropping to $50,000 this year on Polymarket has fallen to 62%. Additionally, the odds of BTC rising to $80,000 within the year are currently 72%, while the probability of it hitting $90,000 stands at 47%.

On March 1, blockchain analytics firm PeckShield reported that the crypto industry saw 15 total hacking incidents in February 2026, leading to cumulative losses of $26.5 million. This marked a 98.2% drop from February 2025 (when losses hit $1.5 billion, with Bybit accounting for $1.4 billion of that) and a 69.2% decline from January 2026 (which recorded $86.01 million in losses).

March 1: Iran’s stock market has suspended trading through next week, a spokesperson for the Iran Securities and Exchange Organization said. Only stock trading is currently halted, the official noted, with details on operational arrangements for the spot market and other capital market segments to be announced later. (CCTV News)

On March 1, Aave founder Stani.eth tweeted that the temperature check for the “AAVE Will Win” proposal has passed. This moves Aave Labs closer to a fully token-centric model, directing 100% of the protocol’s revenue to the AAVE token. Next steps include structural optimizations based on community feedback to refine the proposal for entry into the ARFC phase. Per a February 13 report, Aave Labs released a new governance proposal outlining the protocol’s next-stage strategic framework. It aims to solidify Aave V4 as the core technical foundation for the protocol’s future development and commit 100% of revenue from all Aave-branded products to the Aave DAO treasury. The proposal also includes establishing a sustainable development budget mechanism, setting up a funding framework to back the DAO’s strategic growth and development, and creating a brand protection plan (including holding and managing the Aave trademark via a dedicated entity).

On March 1, cryptocurrency analyst Murphy noted that using the 10-year realized price (<10y_RP) as Bitcoin’s "historical average cost" is more effective for gauging market sentiment. When BTC’s price nears the <10y_RP (roughly $64,500), it often hits a psychological threshold for the market. On February 23–24 and 27–28, BTC fell below this level multiple times but bounced back—signaling strong bullish support at this sensitive price point, unlike the sharp drops seen when approaching the short-term holder realized price (STH-RP). The market’s biggest uncertainty still stems from the U.S.-Iran geopolitical conflict. As key events unfold, focus will shift to the conflict’s scope, duration, and impact on oil prices. That said, over the weekend—with limited institutional and market maker participation—bearish pressure hasn’t been enough to push BTC below $60,000 quickly. These assessments still need further validation once U.S. stock markets open next week. If the trend confirms,

On March 1, Hareesh V, Commodity Research Head at Geojit Investments, noted that elevated geopolitical risks could spark a buying spree in precious metals—potentially pushing New York silver futures back above $100 per ounce. The analyst also added that while a global gold price surge to $6,000 can’t be ruled out in extreme scenarios, its path will hinge largely on how the conflict unfolds. In the short term, increased market volatility and risk-off sentiment are likely to sustain investor support for gold prices. Jigar Trivedi, Senior Research Analyst at IndusInd Securities, believes unprecedented strikes by the U.S. and Israel on Iran, escalating Middle East tensions, and concerns over potential disruptions to global energy supplies—backed by safe-haven buying—are set to drive New York gold futures to new upward momentum. Geopolitical tensions have underpinned prices since the start of the year; gold closed higher last Friday, and the precious metals market is likely to gap up aga