Market News: EU Expected to Be Exempt from US Widely Anticipated 15% Tariff Hike

March 4th (CoinDesk) — Bitcoin is in a supply shortage zone between $72,000 and $80,000, per Glassnode data, where little BTC has traded hands. Only ~1% of circulating Bitcoin falls in this price range. With few holders establishing positions here, a breakout from this zone could face limited resistance. Should BTC break above $72,000, its move toward $80,000 may be relatively quick. Historically, Bitcoin has spent minimal time trading in the $72k-$80k range: - In November 2024, when Trump won the U.S. presidential election, BTC surged rapidly with almost no volume in this interval. - Earlier this year, BTC dropped from ~$80k to $70k by late January, then slid to ~$60k on February 6 — a pullback completed in just days. Supply dynamics are visible via Glassnode’s Unrealized Cap HODL Waves (URPD) metric, which tracks the price levels where Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs) last moved (effectively mapping holders’ cost basis). CoinDesk Research notes over 400,000 BTC were a

March 4 – Iran has denied reports that its intelligence service contacted the U.S. to discuss ending the Middle East conflict. The New York Times previously reported Iranian operatives indirectly reached out to the CIA on Sunday to negotiate terms for ending the fighting. A source in Iran’s intelligence told semi-official Fars News Agency the report was “pure lies and psychological warfare.” Oil prices briefly rose on the denial but quickly pared gains as traders shifted focus to U.S. Navy plans to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic through the key chokepoint has plummeted since the U.S. attacked Iran on Saturday. Both Iran and the U.S. have publicly vowed to continue fighting, raising the risk of a protracted Middle East conflict. So far, the conflict has killed more than 1,000 people—most inside Iran. (FXStreet)

On March 4, Binance.US announced the listing of NPC and the launch of the NPC/USDT trading pair.

On March 4th, Bitget data showed U.S. equities opened higher: the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.13%, the S&P 500 0.33%, and the Nasdaq Composite 0.81%. Cryptocurrency-related stocks were broadly up, with COIN climbing 12.51%, GEMI 11.38%, ABTC 10.68%, MSTR 8.23%, HOOD 8.19%, CRCL 6.45%, and BMNR 6.67%.

On March 4, Binance founder CZ took to social media to comment on Predict.fun’s announcement of its strategic acquisition of Probable, saying: “Congratulations—great to see two strong projects joining forces.” BlockBeats previously reported that Predict.fun, a prediction market platform, announced today its strategic acquisition of Probable, with the exact amount not yet disclosed. Probable is an on-chain prediction platform originally incubated by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs. Since its launch in December 2023, Predict.fun has processed a cumulative $15 billion in transaction volume from over 120,000 users and recorded more than 3.3 million transactions. This acquisition will further advance Predict.fun toward its goal of becoming the world’s most capital-efficient prediction market by strengthening its underlying tech architecture, speeding up market structure optimization, boosting execution efficiency, and improving capital utilization. *(Note: The original “2025” launch date

On March 4, Binance Alpha added 10 Ondo tokenized stocks—HOODon, COINon, ORCLon, SLVon, INTCon, PLTRon, MUon, MSTRon, BABAon, and IAUon—per official sources. The platform now lists 20 total Ondo tokenized stocks, with more additions planned down the line.