On-chain BTC Long Position Liquidated for $10.27M, Marking the Largest Single Liquidation in the Past 24 Hours

March 6 – U.S. stock index futures declined, capping a volatile week, amid soaring oil prices and the threat of an energy supply shock from the ongoing Middle East conflict. The moves amplified inflation fears and stoked market worries about potential hits to economic growth and corporate profits. Vital Knowledge founder Adam Crisafulli noted U.S. stock index futures had been flat to slightly higher until Qatar warned of a potential energy export halt. JonesTrading Chief Market Strategist Michael O'Rourke said the stock market’s reaction was a “mechanical move” to rising oil prices. Amid geopolitical uncertainty, active fund managers have been cutting positions all week, with algorithmic models setting prices. (FXStreet)

March 6 – Ahead of the release of U.S. non-farm payrolls data, CME’s FedWatch Tool indicates the following probabilities for Federal Reserve rate moves: - 4.7% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the March meeting; 95.3% chance of holding rates steady - By the April meeting: 14% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut; 85.5% chance of holding rates steady; 0.5% chance of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut - By the June meeting: 31.5% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut (Source: FX168)

March 6 — Bitcoin prices rebounded to $74,000 midweek before retreating, dropping roughly 3.7% over the past 24 hours to hover above $70,000. The CoinDesk 20 Index fell 3.5% over the same period. Analysts cite two drivers for the pullback: short-term traders locking in profits after the rebound, and escalating Middle East tensions pushing some capital into lower-risk assets. Derivatives market sentiment remains bearish, with funding rates staying negative — a sign traders are paying to keep their short positions open. Spot demand, however, remains intact: recent stablecoin inflows into exchanges hit a new high since 2026, and net flows into Bitcoin spot ETFs have turned positive again. Market participants note that historically, sustained spot accumulation paired with negative funding rates has often sparked a short squeeze — though the outcome this time is uncertain. Meanwhile, U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and retaliatory measures have disrupted oil shipments through the S

March 6: Federal Reserve Governor Waller said war is unlikely to trigger sustained inflation, noting that’s why energy prices are not factored into the Fed’s analysis. (Golden Ten)

March 6 — Bloomberg reports that amid the trading frenzy tied to the Iran situation, Polymarket — once hailed as a novel financial tool letting investors hedge geopolitical risks in real time — is now showing limitations in its Wall Street application. The outlet notes the prediction market has long told regulators and lawmakers its contracts help investors hedge economic and geopolitical risks. But in Iran-related trades, even as volume surged, the case did not serve as a "validation sample" of the platform’s value — instead, it’s a cautionary tale highlighting ongoing shortcomings in providing actionable signals for institutional investors.

**March 6 — Emirates, the world’s largest international airline, said Friday it expects to resume full route operations in the coming days as it recovers from a week-long shutdown triggered by a Middle East conflict-related airspace closure.** In a statement, the carrier noted commercial flight resumptions depend on airspace reopening and meeting all operational requirements. It added it carried around 30,000 passengers out of Dubai on Thursday. By March 7, Emirates will operate 106 daily round-trip flights to 83 destinations — making up nearly 60% of its route network. The Dubai-based flag carrier canceled thousands of flights earlier after Iran’s retaliatory strike prompted the United Arab Emirates to close its airspace, causing minor structural damage to its hub, Dubai International Airport. (Financialnews)