Tonight's US PCE Data Could Unexpectedly Rise, Adding Uncertainty to Fed Rate Cut Outlook
The U.S. will release January Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data at 20:30 Beijing time this Friday, March 13.
Market forecasts point to:
- A 2.9% year-over-year (YoY) rise and 0.3% month-over-month (MoM) gain for headline PCE;
- A 3.1% YoY increase for core PCE (excluding food and energy), which would mark its largest jump since April 2024.
Analysis notes that while recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showed modest inflation easing, PCE’s heavier weighting on goods—coupled with potential price hikes for items like software and jewelry—could push core PCE higher. If core PCE’s YoY reading is significantly above CPI, the gap between the two could hit a multi-decade high.
Since the Federal Reserve prioritizes PCE for policy decisions, a rebound in inflation could dim expectations for interest rate cuts later this year. Additionally, the Middle East conflict has lifted oil prices, raising costs for energy, transportation and food—posing new upside risks to future
5 minutes ago
Opinion introduces a 50% Maker Rebate Mechanism, allowing liquidity providers to receive a share of trading fees
March 13 — Prediction market platform Opinion Labs has launched a 50% maker rebate program on its Opinion platform.
Market makers will receive 50% of trading fees as a reward once their orders are executed. The reward can be calculated alongside Maker Liquidity Points, is distributed daily in USDT, and the first rewards are expected to be issued starting tomorrow.
5 minutes ago
Bitcoin Policy Institute Calls for Reform of U.S. Bitcoin Tax Rules
On March 13, the Bitcoin Policy Institute—a think tank focused on researching and advancing Bitcoin-related public policies—called for revisions to current U.S. tax regulations.
Under the existing rule, all Bitcoin payment activities are treated as capital gains transactions.
The institute contends that relevant policies should be adjusted to ease the tax burden on Bitcoin in everyday payment and usage scenarios, thereby promoting its adoption in real-world payment contexts.
5 minutes ago
Pre-market: Crypto-Related Stocks Soar, MSTR Up 3.94%
On March 13th, per Bitget market data, U.S. pre-market cryptocurrency-related stocks posted notable gains, with the following moves:
- MSTR: +3.94%
- COIN: +3.21%
- HOOD: +0.95%
- ABTC: +3.71%
- SBET: +2.01%
- BMNR: +3.94%
- CRCL: +2.38%
5 minutes ago
A Whale Sells 13,739 ETH, Worth Around $28.96 Million
On March 13, blockchain analytics platform LookOnChain reported that a crypto whale sold 13,739 ETH (valued at roughly $28.96 million) from six separate wallets three hours prior.
5 minutes ago
Economists Predict Fed Will Cut Rates Twice This Year, Express Concern Over Wash
March 13th — A Bloomberg survey finds economists have pushed back their forecast for the Federal Reserve’s next rate cut from March to June, though they still expect two 25-basis-point cuts by year-end.
Of the 46 economists polled, their expected pace of rate cuts outpaces current futures market pricing and includes one more cut than the median forecast from Fed officials in December 2023.
Nearly a third of respondents expressed concerns about Kevin Warsh, Trump’s nominee to chair the central bank. When asked if Warsh would remain committed to the Fed’s 2% inflation target, 13% were uncertain and 18% said “no.”
In December 2023, the same survey had economists forecasting cuts in March and September; by the March 6-11 poll (conducted after the outbreak of Middle East tensions), respondents expected cuts in June and October. The survey’s median shows economists see interest rates in the 3% to 3.25% range by year-end.
(Source: Kinetic Mind)
5 minutes ago