China National Cyber Security Incident Reporting Center Issues OpenClaw Security Risk Advisory

March 13 — Prediction market platform Opinion Labs has launched a 50% maker rebate program on its Opinion platform. Market makers will receive 50% of trading fees as a reward once their orders are executed. The reward can be calculated alongside Maker Liquidity Points, is distributed daily in USDT, and the first rewards are expected to be issued starting tomorrow.

On March 13, the Bitcoin Policy Institute—a think tank focused on researching and advancing Bitcoin-related public policies—called for revisions to current U.S. tax regulations. Under the existing rule, all Bitcoin payment activities are treated as capital gains transactions. The institute contends that relevant policies should be adjusted to ease the tax burden on Bitcoin in everyday payment and usage scenarios, thereby promoting its adoption in real-world payment contexts.

On March 13th, per Bitget market data, U.S. pre-market cryptocurrency-related stocks posted notable gains, with the following moves: - MSTR: +3.94% - COIN: +3.21% - HOOD: +0.95% - ABTC: +3.71% - SBET: +2.01% - BMNR: +3.94% - CRCL: +2.38%

On March 13, blockchain analytics platform LookOnChain reported that a crypto whale sold 13,739 ETH (valued at roughly $28.96 million) from six separate wallets three hours prior.

March 13th — A Bloomberg survey finds economists have pushed back their forecast for the Federal Reserve’s next rate cut from March to June, though they still expect two 25-basis-point cuts by year-end. Of the 46 economists polled, their expected pace of rate cuts outpaces current futures market pricing and includes one more cut than the median forecast from Fed officials in December 2023. Nearly a third of respondents expressed concerns about Kevin Warsh, Trump’s nominee to chair the central bank. When asked if Warsh would remain committed to the Fed’s 2% inflation target, 13% were uncertain and 18% said “no.” In December 2023, the same survey had economists forecasting cuts in March and September; by the March 6-11 poll (conducted after the outbreak of Middle East tensions), respondents expected cuts in June and October. The survey’s median shows economists see interest rates in the 3% to 3.25% range by year-end. (Source: Kinetic Mind)

**March 13 – Forbes Analysis: Bitcoin Struggles as Short-Term Safe Haven Amid Oil Price Shocks** A Forbes analysis finds Bitcoin typically fails to act as a short-term safe haven during geopolitical conflict-driven oil price shocks. Historical data shows Bitcoin faces downward pressure—with varying decline speeds—whether oil prices plummet sharply or surge above $100. The report notes oil price spikes signal mounting inflation, pushing central banks to keep interest rates high and eroding the appeal of risk assets like Bitcoin. Currently, with the Iran conflict escalating, global oil has again topped $100, while Bitcoin trades around $70,000—down ~45% from its October 2025 all-time high of $126,000. Per the analysis: - If oil stays above $100 long-term, Bitcoin could drop another 15-25%, hitting $50k-$58k. - If conflict worsens and oil hits $130-$140, Bitcoin may retreat to $40k-$45k. Still, the report adds that historically, macro crises eventually trigger fiscal stimu