Survey: U.S. investor sentiment hits its lowest level since 2025
The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) weekly survey shows investor sentiment has worsened further to its lowest level since 2025, fueled by sustained high oil prices and the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate hike since 2023. The latest AAII survey, released Friday, found 53.3% of respondents are bearish, exceeding the 50% mark. Just 28.8% are bullish, the lowest such reading in a year. In a statement, AAII Vice President Charles Rotblut said the gap between bullish and bearish investors has dropped to -24.5%, a level he described as “abnormally low” and marking the ninth straight week it has stayed below the historical average of 6.5%. This is also the metric’s lowest level since May 2025. The survey further shows more than half of respondents hold higher-than-normal cash allocations, indicating investor caution, with 19.1% reporting their cash holdings are “far above normal levels.”
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US dollar on track for best weekly performance in three months
The U.S. dollar is on track for its best weekly performance in three months, after the Federal Reserve signaled further interest rate hikes. Driven by solid U.S. economic growth and the Fed’s post-hike anti-inflation stance, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rose around 1.1% this week. Following the Fed’s first interest rate hike in over three years, JPMorgan Chase, Standard Chartered, and Brown Brothers Harriman all noted that the decision removed the biggest obstacle to the dollar’s strength. On Wednesday and Thursday, the DXY consolidated near its 200-day moving average, before breaking slightly above this key level on Friday. Historical data shows that when the DXY closes above its 200-day moving average, the dollar tends to rally further; in March and June, the index saw additional strength after breaking above the 200-day moving average. The DXY gave back some of its weekly gains as the yen narrowed its losses following reports of the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) "exchange rate check". The index had been poised for its largest weekly gain since the outbreak of the Iran war in March, as a BOJ exchange rate check is typically seen as a precursor to official intervention.
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Sources familiar with the matter: Anthropic’s annualized revenue could exceed $100 billion, and the company is expected to file IPO-related financial documents as early as the coming weeks.
Beating AI News reports that The New York Times, citing four anonymous sources, states Anthropic’s annual revenue is projected to exceed $100 billion this year, up from roughly $65 billion in July. Investors seeking to participate in Anthropic’s IPO are using this rapid growth to support the company’s potential $2 trillion valuation. Sources add that Anthropic could file IPO-related financial documents as early as the coming weeks, with stock trading potentially starting as soon as November. However, the plans remain subject to changes based on investor sentiment and market volatility. Separately, three sources note that investors expect Anthropic to secure around 5 gigawatts of computing power by the end of this year, a capacity that will double by the end of next year, reaching a level comparable to rival OpenAI. Recently, Anthropic held an investor event at its San Francisco headquarters, attended by around 100 venture capital investors, and the company’s management and investment banking teams have already begun engaging with potential IPO investors.
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Trump says the U.S. will "easily win" a war against Iran, predicts the conflict will end soon.
US President Donald Trump has said the United States is "easily winning" its war with Iran, adding that Iran will not acquire nuclear weapons. He noted that to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, American citizens may face higher gasoline prices, but if forced to choose between "rising oil prices" and Iran possessing nuclear weapons, he believes the public would prioritize avoiding Iran getting nuclear weapons. Trump added that the war will end soon, after which gasoline prices will drop back, possibly even lower than pre-war levels. He also stated that if the US had not deployed B-2 bombers to strike Iran, Iran "might already have nuclear weapons by now."
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OpenAI CEO will brief the United Nations Security Council on AI security issues next week.
According to Reuters, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will brief the UN Security Council on artificial intelligence (AI) and international security during next week’s UN General Assembly in New York. The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold an open meeting on AI and international security on Wednesday. An OpenAI spokesperson noted that Altman’s remarks are expected to focus on measures OpenAI has taken to ensure AI safety, make the technology accessible globally, as well as the need to advance international coordination and establish common safety standards. The meeting comes amid calls from multiple AI industry figures for coordinated efforts to slow the development of advanced AI technology, with related stakeholders warning that the rapid advancement of AI capabilities could pose risks beyond human control. Altman has long focused on AI risks, and in a 2015 article, he stated that the development of superintelligent AI could be one of the greatest threats facing humanity.
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A whale holding ZEC short positions for nearly half a month was forced to liquidate, incurring losses exceeding $10 million.
According to EmberCN’s monitoring, as ZEC surged to $1,584 earlier this morning, a short whale that had held a ZEC short position for half a month was forced to close out its position. The address liquidated ZEC shorts worth roughly $24.43 million at a price near $1,548, resulting in a loss of approximately $10.68 million. Since the position’s liquidation price stood at $1,551, after ZEC’s price neared that level, the whale chose to voluntarily close out the position to avoid being forcibly liquidated. Prior to this, the trader had amassed a total profit of about $9.11 million since June, with a historical trade win rate of 79%. This ZEC short trade blunder wiped out almost all of its previously accumulated profits.
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