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The Fed's Rate Cut Probability for December Surges to Around 60%

2 hours ago

As of April 17th, Fed Funds Futures imply the market is now pricing in roughly a 60% chance of a Fed rate cut by December. (FXStreet)
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Iranian Official Threatens to Close Strait of Hormuz Again If US Continues Blockade

Iranian officials, per Iranian media outlet Fars News, said on April 17 that if the U.S. Navy maintains its blockade, Tehran will view this as a ceasefire agreement violation and close the Strait of Hormuz.

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20 Consecutive Short Wins Whale Experiences Major Pullback: Unrealized Loss Exceeds $15.5 Million, Total Profit Shrinks by Nearly 55%

April 17th: According to on-chain analytics firm Lookonchain, the well-known trader address **pension-usdt.eth** has suffered a sharp drawdown amid the latest market rebound, racking up heavy unrealized losses on its short positions. The address currently holds ~1,000 BTC (≈$77.5M) and 20,000 ETH (≈$48.7M) in short positions, with total unrealized losses exceeding $15.5M. As a result, its historical cumulative profit has plummeted from a peak of ~$33.28M to ~$14.98M—marking a nearly 55% drawdown. Notably, the trader previously notched 20 consecutive winning trades with a win rate above 85%.

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Yi Li Hua: Bullish on the Future, No Reason to Take Profit Yet

On April 17th, Li Hua—founder of Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital)—stated in a post: “Now that the Hormuz Strait has reopened, the war has indeed formally concluded. I still hold that both sides have no reason to keep fighting; peace is the only and best option. I remain optimistic about this rebound: U.S. stocks have hit a new high, MicroStrategy keeps buying, altcoins are taking turns to rally, and there’s no reason to take profits right now.”

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Trump: Iran Agreed to "Everything"

On April 17, Trump told NewsNation that Iran had agreed to “everything.” Iran has agreed to refrain from closing the Strait of Hormuz—ending its use as a weapon against the world—and halt uranium enrichment. As of press time, European natural gas prices have dropped 10% (on the heels of a 12%-plus slide in crude oil) following Trump’s comments on the Strait of Hormuz.

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Trump: Iran has Agreed to No Longer Close the Strait of Hormuz, Iran Agrees to Stop Uranium Enrichment

April 17: U.S. President Trump said Iran has agreed not to block the Strait of Hormuz, adding it will no longer be used as a weapon against the world. Trump told NewsNation Iran has agreed to halt uranium enrichment. Axios reporters noted the U.S. and Iran have made progress in negotiations on a three-page memorandum of understanding (MOU) to end the conflict.

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Bitcoin Surpasses $78,000

April 17 — Bitcoin topped $78,000, per HTX market data, posting a 5.58% gain over the past 24 hours.

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