Bitunix Analyst: Market Enters "Data Risk Week", BTC Rises to $80,000, Leveraging and Macro Sentiment Warm Up in Sync, Caution Needed for Long Squeeze
May 4th — The market is now in a phase of overlapping intense macro and geopolitical events. U.S. nonfarm payrolls, Federal Reserve officials’ remarks, U.S.-Europe tariff risks, and the Strait of Hormuz situation are top focuses for global funds.
The U.S. military has announced the launch of "freedom of navigation operations," deploying 15,000 personnel plus sea and air assets to secure navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has warned any intervention could be deemed a ceasefire violation, with the conflict at risk of further escalation.
In this context, BTC has continued its risk appetite recovery post-ceasefire, climbing above the $80,000 mark. On-chain settlement heatmaps show the $79,500–$81,000 range has seen high-density short squeezes, while the $77,000–$78,000 level acts as a short-term long defense zone — signaling a typical high-leverage hedging state.
Notably, this week’s macro data will directly impact the U.S. dollar, U.S. bond yields, and risk asset sentiment.
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The SKYAI presale early participants enjoyed significant returns, now ranking first in BSC Foundation token holdings value.
**SKYAI (BSC AI Project) Sees Explosive Presale Demand; BNB Chain Foundation Investment Surges in Value**
On May 4, 2025, SKYAI—an AI initiative in the BNB Chain (BSC) ecosystem—rolled out an innovative community-led presale. Roughly 80% of its tokens were allocated to public participants, with the remaining 20% earmarked for liquidity support.
Originally capped at 500 BNB, the presale blew past expectations: total subscriptions hit ~83,343 BNB, with over 110,000 participant addresses. This underscored fierce market interest in AI-related narratives at the time.
**Early Participant ROI Example**
A user who contributed 4 BNB (the full allocation) received ~38,000 SKYAI tokens after a 0.02 BNB deduction (returning 3.98 BNB). At the current market price of ~$0.60 per token, this holding is worth ~$22,000—delivering significant returns.
**BNB Chain Foundation’s Investment Win**
On-chain data and reports show the BNB Chain Foundation made two SKYAI purchases on May 12, 2025,
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The Price of WTI and Brent Oil Fluctuates Upwards as the Media Reports the Impending U.S. Operation in Hormuz Strait
On May 4, market data from Bitget shows both U.S. Crude Oil and Brent Crude Oil prices climbed intraday. WTI Crude Oil surged more than 2% to $104.22 per barrel, while Brent Crude Oil gained 0.43% to top $108 per barrel after earlier falling more than 2%.
Separately, on the news front, reports indicate the so-called U.S. Hormuz Operation will launch in a matter of hours. A spokesperson for Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, noted that current discussions about uranium enrichment are nothing more than speculation. “Our ongoing negotiations focus solely on ending the war—no other issues are on the table,” the spokesperson said. “We are in talks with Oman and need to establish a security protocol for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.”
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A U.S. Law Firm Seeks to Halt Transfer of Frozen ETH in Kelp Attack, Claiming Over $870 Million in Damages
On May 4, U.S. law firm Gerstein Harrow LLP filed a motion for a restraining order in court, seeking to block the Arbitrum DAO from transferring frozen Ethereum assets tied to the Kelp attack. The firm stated its client has secured default judgments totaling roughly $877 million (including punitive damages and interest) in three cases against North Korea, claiming a right to the related assets.
Previously, on April 18, the Kelp DAO was hacked, resulting in losses of approximately $292 million—losses linked to the North Korean hacker group Lazarus Group. The Arbitrum Security Council subsequently froze around 30,766 Ether (valued at roughly $73 million at the time).
The incident has sparked controversy. Some community members argue enforcing the restraining order would delay fund returns to affected users and shift North Korea-related liabilities to secondary victims. Earlier, Aave Labs proposed unfreezing the assets and directing them into a compensation fund to recover damaged a
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Hyperliquid HIP-4 Event Contract Launched with 6.05 Million Trades on the First Day, Capturing Approximately 0.7% of the Prediction Market
On May 4th, decentralized exchange (DEX) platform Hyperliquid officially launched its HIP-4 Event Contract. On day one, the product’s nominal trading volume hit 6.05 million contracts—roughly 0.7% of total daily prediction market volume.
For context, top prediction market platforms still hold a massive lead in daily trading volume: Kalshi (~546M contracts), Polymarket (~190M), Limitless (~68.26M), Crypto.com (~28.2M), Opinion (~25.72M), Predict.fun (~11.8M).
Data indicates Hyperliquid has achieved a meaningful cold start in the event contract space despite its small initial scale, officially marking its entry into the competitive prediction market landscape. In the near term, top platforms retain an absolute liquidity edge—future growth will hinge on product design and user acquisition/migration capabilities.
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