Analysis: Over Half of Bitcoin Holdings in Unrealized Loss, Historical Bear Market Bottom Indicator Triggered Again
On June 4, Glassnode data showed that as Bitcoin dipped briefly to $61,300, the number of unrealized BTC holdings hit roughly 10.5 million—surpassing the 9.8 million BTC currently in a profitable state for the first time in this market cycle. Making up over half of Bitcoin’s circulating supply, this marks the first time in the current cycle that loss-making coins have outnumbered profit-making ones.
Historical data indicates this metric has only emerged during deep bear market phases in Bitcoin’s history, and has typically aligned with key market bottoms. Similar instances occurred during the 2015, 2019, 2020, and 2022 bear markets, with these stretches lasting between one month and a full year.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin touched its 200-week moving average at around $61,300—a critical long-term support level that held firm during previous bear cycles. Analysts warn that if BTC drops below the $60,000 psychological threshold, the next major support level will be near the realized price of ro
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Graviton Launches Korean Stock Perpetual Futures, Expands On-Chain RWA Pairs to 74
June 4. Decentralized crypto exchange Grvt announced the launch of Korean stock-based perpetual futures contracts, with its first batch covering Samsung, SK Hynix, and Hyundai. Traders can access round-the-clock trading and maintain full self-custody of their assets throughout all transactions.
This launch comes as the Korean stock market leads global performance. Fueled by the global AI boom and surging demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), the KOSPI index has jumped nearly 100% this year, catapulting Korea to become the world’s sixth-largest stock market—with Samsung and SK Hynix making up roughly half of the index’s total value.
Back in February of this year, Grvt expanded its real-world asset (RWA) trading pairs to 74, spanning stocks, private companies, ETFs, and commodities (including names like OpenAI, Anthropic, NVIDIA, gold, and oil), consistently bridging traditional market assets to the blockchain. Grvt has stated its intention to further expand global asset coverage, wi
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Citigroup Raises Oracle Price Target from $320 to $330
On June 4, Citigroup lifted its Oracle price target to $330 from $320.
Barclays boosted its price targets for CrowdStrike (CRWD.O) and ASML Holding, raising the former to $675 from $650 and the latter to €1,900 from €1,575, according to FX Street.
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Trader Loracle Turns Bullish, Joins Long Positions, HYPE Long Size Reaches $8.6 Million
June 4 — Hyperinsight (via its Telegram channel @HyperInsight) reports that Trader Loracle, HYPE’s former largest short seller, has flipped from short to long across its entire position, accumulating long positions in seven assets: HYPE, ZEC, WLD, TON, ASTER, NEAR, and XMR.
HYPE remains Loracle’s top long allocation. The trader opened a 2x-leveraged HYPE long yesterday and added to the position during today’s price dip, bringing the total long size to $8.6 million.
Loracle currently holds 892,500 HYPE spot tokens valued at ~$60.7 million. With the futures longs added, their HYPE exposure is now fully bullish. All long positions except XMR are sitting with unrealized losses of varying degrees.
Wallet address: 0x8def9f50456c6c4e37fa5d3d57f108ed23992dae
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Powell May Pivot to Hawkish Stance as Fed's Dovish Outlook Faces End
June 4 – As this month’s FOMC meeting approaches, market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are continuing to wane. Reuters columnist Mike Dolan noted that the lone remaining projection of “one rate cut this year” in the Fed’s dot plot could be scrapped entirely. There is even speculation that new Fed Chair Kevin Wash might push to abandon the dot plot framework altogether.
Right now, the AI investment boom and developments in the Middle East are lifting energy prices, stoking renewed inflationary pressure. The U.S. labor market remains resilient: private payrolls added 122,000 jobs in May, beating consensus forecasts, a print that has led the market to start pricing in the possibility of a rate hike this year.
While the upcoming meeting is not expected to bring an immediate rate hike, the policy statement is likely to further dial back the Fed’s dovish language. Several officials have previously suggested removing related forward guidance, and once-dovish Fed policymaker Wal
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Amid Ceasefire in Lebanon, Netanyahu's Northern Stronghold Wavers, Likud Support Plummets
June 4 — Following the Lebanon ceasefire agreement, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is facing fierce backlash from voters in the north, where support for his Likud party has plummeted, per a new Reuters poll. Many northern voters are demanding tougher military action against Hezbollah, blaming Netanyahu for pushing through a rushed ceasefire under U.S. pressure.
Poll data shows Likud’s expected vote share in the northern region has fallen to 23%, down sharply from the 35% it won in the 2022 general election. The northern voter loss rate is roughly three times the national average, and nearly 70% of respondents disapprove of the government’s handling of the Lebanon conflict.
With Israeli elections set for no later than October, the opposition is intensifying its focus on the northern stronghold. Former IDF Chief of Staff and prime ministerial candidate Gadi Eisenkot has been campaigning aggressively in border areas, advocating for continued strikes against Hezbollah targets
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