Berenberg: 2026 World Cup Will Become Key Catalyst for Prediction Markets, Expected to Bring $5 to $10 Billion Incremental Trading Volume
**Bernstein: 2026 FIFA World Cup to Drive Record Growth for Global Prediction Markets, Benefit DraftKings, Robinhood, Coinbase**
June 11 — A Bernstein Research analyst says the 2026 FIFA World Cup, kicking off today across North America, will serve as the single biggest growth catalyst the prediction market industry has ever seen. The firm projects the tournament will add over $30 billion in incremental trading volume for global prediction markets, while lifting consumer prediction trading activity between $50 billion and $100 billion.
Featuring an expanded field of 48 teams, the World Cup will include 104 matches — roughly a 60% jump from a standard World Cup edition.
Bernstein adds the 2026 tournament could prove prediction markets have permanently outgrown their reliance on election cycles and niche political contracts. Earlier forecasts from the firm called for annual prediction market trading volume to rise from $51 billion in 2025 to $1 trillion by 2030, with 2026’s total
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Platform metrics show the first prediction market — for the matchup between Mexico and South Africa — is now open. Current market forecasts put Mexico’s win rate at approximately 69%, a draw at 21%, and South Africa’s at 11%. This prediction market includes multiple betting categories, such as win/loss results, handicaps, total scores, exact scores, and corner kicks.
The event encompasses 48 teams and a total of 104 matches. Users can earn prediction tickets via contract trading or prediction market trading to enter daily featured match predictions. Those who m
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