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Israel Strikes Beirut Again

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**News Brief** June 15 (Local Time) – Lebanese authorities confirmed Wednesday that an Israeli military operation targeting Beirut’s southern suburbs has killed at least three people. Details show an Israeli drone struck a vehicle in the Naameh area of southern Lebanon, causing additional injuries, while two Naameh-region towns were shelled by the Israeli military. Separately, an Israeli drone deployed a stun bomb over the village of Haris in southern Lebanon’s Bent Jbeil district, and the Israeli military carried out a controlled detonation in the town of Shheem (Marjayoun region, southern Lebanon). Observers warn this latest escalation threatens fragile U.S.-Iran peace talks. Israeli Public Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir posted on social media June 15 that the U.S.-Iran agreement is “not binding on Israel.” He stated: “Trump’s deal does not apply to us; Israel is not subject to U.S. jurisdiction… we are not a party to this accord, and it does not guarantee our security.” Ben-Gvir added Israel will “never accept” any arrangement that does not fully dismantle Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Israel will refuse to withdraw from its occupied territories.
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Michael Saylor: MicroStrategy's Dollar Reserve Increased to $1.1 Billion

June 15 — Strategy founder Michael Saylor announced on social media that the company has recently purchased 1,587 bitcoin for approximately $100 million, bringing its total bitcoin holdings to 846,842 coins. At the same time, the firm has increased its U.S. dollar reserves by $100 million to roughly $1.1 billion, further strengthening its liquidity reserve capacity. This move underscores Strategy’s ongoing focus on accumulating bitcoin while also expanding its cash position to improve balance sheet liquidity and risk resistance. As of today, Strategy remains one of the largest publicly traded companies globally in terms of bitcoin holdings.

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Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) Hong Kong: Will continue to advance the regulatory framework for digital assets and support the application of AI in finance

June 15, at the Caixin Summer Summit, Anna Ewing, Chair of Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission (SFC), stated Hong Kong will continue expanding its digital asset regulatory framework and advancing artificial intelligence (AI) applications in the financial services sector to solidify its standing as an international financial hub. Ewing noted regulatory agencies will strengthen the institutional framework covering areas like digital asset trading, custody, investment advice, and asset management. She emphasized the "same business, same risks, same rules" regulatory principle, striking a balance between innovation and investor protection. She added that as AI grows more prevalent in finance, regulators will focus on key risks: model reliability, algorithmic bias, data privacy, and cybersecurity. She stressed financial institutions must step up risk management throughout the innovation process. Furthermore, Hong Kong’s SFC and related regulatory bodies have expanded their regu

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G7 Central Bank Quantum Technology Working Group Releases First Report: Warns of Long-Term Risks to the Financial Cryptographic System

June 15: The first public report from the G7 Central Bank Quantum Technology Working Group (QTWG) warns quantum computing could have a profound impact on the global financial system, bringing notable structural challenges to data encryption and cybersecurity. Launched in 2025 and co-led by the Bank of France and Bank of Canada, the working group includes members like the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England, Bank of Japan, plus major central banks from Germany, Italy and other nations. The report notes while a quantum computer with “cryptographic cracking capabilities” hasn’t been built yet, industry experts increasingly agree such a machine could emerge within the next decade—posing a potential threat to today’s financial infrastructure, which relies on traditional encryption algorithms. A core risk highlighted is the so-called “harvest now, decrypt later” strategy: actors are storing current encrypted financial data long-term, planning to decode it on

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Polymarket Indicates Bitcoin's June Trend is Neutral, Limited Upside Potential, Significant Downside Hedge

June 15. Data from the Polymarket platform shows that for the contract “What price will Bitcoin hit in June,” the market’s short-term outlook for BTC has clear divergences, but overall leans toward sideways trading rather than a directional breakout. Bitcoin is currently trading at around $66,000, with related contract volumes exceeding $15.9 million. Market pricing gives a ~72% probability of BTC touching $67,500 by June—this is the “base scenario,” signaling the price is likely to stay fluctuating within its current range. On the upside, the market puts a ~35% chance of BTC reaching $70,000, but odds drop off sharply for a move above $75,000, positioning $70,000 as a critical resistance zone. For the downside, there’s a significant concentration of funds in the $55,000 to $57,500 range, with a ~9% probability of BTC touching $55,000. Analysts note this area has seen high trading volume and acts as a cluster of hedge positions, meaning some traders are buying protection against pot

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Strategy increased its holdings by 1,587 bitcoins last week.

June 15 – Digital asset firm Strategy reported last week it acquired 1,587 bitcoins at an average price of $63,024 each, for a total transaction value of $100 million.

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Market Bets on US-Iran Breakthrough Drive Risk Asset Rebound, Oil Plunges, Rate Cut Expectations Advance

On June 15, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. and Iran have struck a peace deal framework, with plans to formally sign it on June 19. The framework includes measures like lifting U.S. military maritime blockades and facilitating the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which has driven a sharp uptick in global market risk sentiment. Crude oil prices plummeted sharply, with Brent crude falling roughly 5% to around $82 a barrel—dropping a total of about 33% from its March peak. Analysts noted that resuming maritime shipping in the strait would directly ease fears of a looming global energy supply crunch. Global stock markets rallied in tandem: major global equity indexes were broadly higher. U.S. Nasdaq futures jumped roughly 2% in pre-market trading. Risk assets rebounded across the board—Bitcoin briefly topped $66,000, marking a 2.7% gain over 24 hours, while gold prices climbed nearly 3% to above $4,330. In the interest rate market, investors are widely expecting th

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