Lookonchain APP

App Store

Opinion: Draft Details of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding Still Remain Highly Uncertain

2026.06.15 19:30:02

On June 15, CNBC reported that the United States and Iran have reached a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to end nearly four months of hostilities. Both sides have agreed to halt hostile actions and move forward with subsequent peace talks. Markets responded swiftly to the development: stocks rallied, while oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields fell simultaneously. The agreement has not yet been formally signed, and its full text has not been made public. Iran’s side stated the draft is finalized, with a signing ceremony scheduled for Friday in Geneva. It declared, “War has permanently and immediately ended on all fronts.” U.S. President Trump added that he will lift the U.S. naval blockade on Iran and work to de-escalate related military deployments. Key terms of the deal include a 60-day extension of the ceasefire to facilitate framework negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional security. A major sticking point: Iran reportedly demanded the U.S. release billions of dollars in frozen assets as a condition for launching nuclear talks, a demand the U.S. rejected. On the energy and shipping front, Trump announced plans to help facilitate the “free opening” of the Strait of Hormuz and lift U.S. military blockade measures, emphasizing that “oil should flow freely.” Iranian media countered that reopening the strait would still need to follow Iran’s internal arrangements. Countries like Qatar welcomed the agreement, stressing support for freedom of navigation. Notably, Israel is not party to the agreement and continues to maintain a presence in regional military operations. The extent of Israel’s acceptance of the deal remains unclear, making it a major source of uncertainty in the weeks ahead. Analysts point out that the agreement is more of a “tactical cooldown” rather than a final peaceful resolution. Core disagreements—especially over Iran’s nuclear issue and the framework of sanctions—remain unresolved, leaving open the possibility of further escalation in the coming months.
Relevant content

US stocks staged a broad-based rally, with the Nasdaq Composite rising more than 2%. The semiconductor sector led gains, and all major storage stocks including Micron, SK Hynix and SanDisk surged over 10%.

According to market data from BIT (bit.com), US stocks staged a broad-based rally, with the semiconductor storage sector leading gains. The Nasdaq rose over 2%, the Dow added 0.48%, and the S&P 500 gained more than 1%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped over 6%, on track for its largest single-day gain in a month. All major storage stocks surged over 10%: Micron Technology climbed 10.44%, SK Hynix rose 10.02%, SanDisk advanced 17.24%, Western Digital gained 14.33%, Seagate Technology jumped 16.38%, and Kioxia ADR rose 10.95%. Microsoft’s rally extended to over 15%, poised for its biggest single-day gain since March 2020. After Wednesday’s US market close, Microsoft released its Q4 FY2026 financial results: revenue reached $90 billion, up 18% year-over-year. Growth for Azure and other cloud services accelerated to 43% from 40% in the previous quarter. ARM’s gains once widened to 19%, after it had fallen nearly 8% in pre-market trading earlier, marking its largest single-day jump since March 25. The company’s Q1 FY2027 revenue totaled $1.289 billion, up 22% year-over-year, setting a new first-quarter record.

27 minutes ago

Microsoft's gains have widened to over 15%, poised to post its largest single-day gain since March 2020.

According to BIT (bit.com) market data, Microsoft’s gains widened to over 15% after the U.S. stock market opened, putting it on track for its largest single-day gain since March 2020. The company released its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results after U.S. markets closed Wednesday, reporting revenue of $90 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase. Growth for Azure and other cloud services rose to 43% from 40% in the prior quarter. CEO Satya Nadella said Azure’s full fiscal year revenue exceeded $100 billion, growing 41%—marking the first time the business has crossed the $100 billion threshold.

27 minutes ago

US stocks opened higher, with the Nasdaq rising 1.6%, Microsoft gaining approximately 12%, and the storage sector rallying sharply.

According to market data from BIT (bit.com), the three major U.S. stock indexes advanced at the open of U.S. trading: the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6%, the S&P 500 gained 1%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.6%. Microsoft jumped roughly 12% after releasing its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results in Wednesday’s post-market session, reporting revenue of $90 billion, up 18% year-over-year. The storage sector saw sharp gains, with SanDisk (SNDK.O) rising around 11% and SK Hynix (SKHY.O) climbing approximately 7%.

27 minutes ago

At the opening of the US stock market, most crypto-related stocks rose, with Strategy up 1.25%.

According to market data from BIT (bit.com), most US-listed crypto-related stocks rose at the opening of the US stock session, with the following performance: Strategy (MSTR) up 1.25%; Coinbase (COIN) gained 0.60%; Circle (CRCL) down 0.15%; BitMine Immersion (BMNR) rose 1.66%; SharpLink Gaming (SBET) jumped 3.34%.

27 minutes ago

At the opening of US stock markets, ARM’s gains once widened to 19%, marking its largest single-day gain since March 25.

According to market data from BIT (bit.com), ARM’s gains expanded to 19% at one point after the U.S. stock market opened, following a nearly 8% drop in pre-market trading earlier. This marks its largest single-day gain since March 25.

27 minutes ago

U.S. June PCE unexpectedly turned negative, the first such reading since 2020; second-quarter GDP appeared to slow, but domestic demand hit a two-year high.

The U.S. June PCE Price Index, released today, fell 0.1% month-over-month—the first monthly decline since the 2020 COVID-19 outbreak. Its year-over-year growth slowed to 3.7% from a three-year high of 4.1% in May. Core PCE rose just 0.1% month-over-month, with its year-over-year rate dropping to 3.3% from 3.4%, though it remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for the sixth consecutive year. The cooling inflation was largely driven by falling oil prices following the temporary U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Consumer spending remained robust: inflation-adjusted consumer spending in June rose 0.4% month-over-month, matching the fastest pace since July 2025. The second quarter’s annualized GDP growth slowed to 1.5% from 2.1% in the first quarter, but domestic private final sales (excluding net exports, inventories, and government spending) jumped 3.9%—more than doubling the first-quarter figure and hitting its highest level since early 2023. Consumer spending, which makes up roughly two-thirds of the economy, surged from 0.5% to 3.2%. Low unemployment, tax cuts, and the AI investment boom have jointly supported household consumption and corporate capital expenditure. However, energy prices remain a key risk for the second half of the year: the average regular gasoline price in Q2 hit $4.22 per gallon, far above the sub-$3 level before the conflict, and oil prices have risen again this month. Consumer goods firms including Procter & Gamble have noted consumers are more price-sensitive. The day before the GDP report’s release, the Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to hold interest rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75%. Three regional Fed presidents dissented, pushing for a 25-basis-point rate hike. Waller said, “The economy is showing impressive resilience.” The expanding camp of rate-hike advocates underscores growing internal divisions within the Fed.

27 minutes ago