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Global Rate Hike Cycle Begins: Number of Rate Hikes Matches Rate Cuts in May, First Time Since Early 2021

2026.06.21 18:20:32

June 21 – Global monetary policy is at a turning point. New data from 52 tracked central banks shows that in May, the number of rate hikes and rate cuts hit an even split at 26 each. This marks the first time such a balance has been struck in roughly two years, after a stretch where more central banks were cutting rates than raising them. The last time this equilibrium occurred was back in early 2021, preceding a three-year tightening policy cycle. This metric peaked in mid-2022, when 28 more central banks raised rates than cut them. Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced a 25 basis point rate hike to 2.25%—its first rate increase since September 2023. This week, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) also raised rates by 25 basis points to 1.0%, hitting the highest interest rate level seen since 1995. That signals a new global tightening cycle is now underway.
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