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Goldman Sachs: South Korea’s full-year exports are on track to exceed $1 trillion; multiple institutions project divergent global inflation paths amid Middle East shocks.

3 hours ago

Goldman Sachs’ latest report notes that the AI capital expenditure (capex) boom is driving Korea’s chip cycle with greater intensity and duration than expected, and the AI-fueled massive trade surplus will persist through the end of the year. The bank projects Korea’s full-year exports to exceed $1 trillion, with the current account surplus rising to 15% of GDP. On the U.S. front, a new study from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas shows that oil prices surging above $120 per barrel this spring trimmed U.S. economic output by roughly 0.3 percentage points, though the impact is far milder than similar oil shocks in the 1980s, reflecting the U.S. economy’s vastly improved resilience to oil price shocks. For the Eurozone, ING analysts point out that June PMI data still signals business activity in contraction territory, but the easing of inflation pressure from cooling energy prices is encouraging, with growth in input costs for both manufacturing and services slowing. Weak growth paired with fading inflation concerns will deter the European Central Bank from implementing large interest rate hikes. On the Australia front, Westpac has maintained its forecast for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise rates in August, while warning that "second-round effects" from Middle East supply shocks are spreading: rising costs for fuel, transportation, and chemicals have started to spill over into more sectors beyond energy, wage cost pressures could further stoke inflation in the second half of 2026, and the withdrawal of policy support measures will also keep inflation risks lingering beyond the August policy meeting.

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Serenity列出美股「超跌」清单:加息实际利好CRCL,AI标的关注AAOI、JBL

Serenity stated that from the perspectives of swing trading and trade correction, some "oversold" assets in the current U.S. stock market are worth monitoring. CRCL has fallen from $132 to $78, and interest rate hikes are actually favorable to this asset. NFLX has dropped 41.6% over the past year; despite lacking a hit content similar to *Squid Game*, its business remains on track for growth. ETHA and IBIT correspond to Ethereum at around $1,650 and Bitcoin at around $62,000 respectively. Serenity has long been bullish on Ethereum in the $1,500–$1,700 range, and also holds a positive outlook on Bitcoin near current levels. From a swing trading standpoint, ASTS always appears to recover near the $70 mark. META and MSFT have pulled back sharply from their highs due to capital expenditure pressures, but both companies continue to grow rapidly. UPWK currently boasts an extremely low price-to-earnings ratio, making it worth re-evaluating. For RDDT, which is trading at around $170, selling cash-secured put options near $150 may be a more optimal strategy. On AI-related assets, Serenity noted that AI capital expenditure will keep rising through 2028, so he remains focused on investing around bottleneck areas. Personally, he finds AAOI very attractive near $150, and JBL is also appealing at $370 with a market capitalization of roughly $39 billion. If TSM is implementing price hikes, its $1.9 trillion market cap may be undervalued; he cited reports that a roughly 10% price increase could boost margins by about 2 percentage points. Serenity added that he still holds exposure to EWY and storage-related assets, but will not add to his positions. For assets like INTC and MRVL, he believes that if there is no existing position, current prices are already reasonable, and given the overall market’s extremely high implied volatility, selling cash-secured put options may be more suitable.

3 minutes ago

Trump Makes Series of Major Announcements Within 24 Hours: Pressures Iran, Slams Oil Companies, Plans to Probe High Oil Prices

US President Trump has made a flurry of statements over the past 24 hours on Iran, energy markets, and government personnel appointments. On Middle East issues, Trump said the US is pushing for a "fair deal" with Iran to end conflicts in the Strait of Hormuz, and reiterated that "Iran cannot possess nuclear weapons". He claimed Iran has agreed to accept long-term, even permanent, top-level nuclear inspections, and warned that no further talks would take place if Tehran refuses the inspections. Separately, in response to Iran’s denial that it had arranged access for International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors, Trump called Iran’s statement "incorrect", adding that the inspectors would enter Iran at an appropriate time. Trump also criticized the US Senate’s push to hold a vote on the War Powers Resolution, which limits the president’s war powers, saying the move sends a weak signal to Iran and will complicate future negotiations. On energy, Trump accused major oil companies of not passing on the full drop in crude oil prices to gas station retail prices, saying consumers are being "ripped off", and noted he has ordered the US Department of Justice (DOJ) to launch an immediate investigation. Additionally, a source familiar with the matter told reporters that Heidi Overton, White House domestic policy assistant, is among the candidates for commissioner of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Separately, FIFA President has revealed that Trump will attend the World Cup final to be held in New Jersey, USA on July 19 and present the trophy to the champion team.

3 minutes ago

贝莱德向Coinbase存入2,700枚BTC和52,956枚ETH

According to monitoring by OnchainLens, an address linked to BlackRock has deposited 2,700 BTC (valued at approximately $168.63 million) and 52,956 ETH (valued at roughly $88.17 million) into Coinbase.

3 minutes ago

QCP Capital:市场关注点从美伊协议签署转向执行风险,美联储释放更长期维持高利率信号

QCP Capital’s daily observation notes that following the signing of the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), the market’s focus has shifted from the agreement’s conclusion to execution risks. While Brent crude prices have fallen back below $80, navigation through the Strait of Hormuz has not fully resumed—only around 14 vessels transit the strait daily, far below normal levels. Key watch indicators over the next 60 days will be progress in technical negotiations and the implementation of the Lebanon-Israel ceasefire. On the monetary policy front, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range, but the median dot in its 2026 dot plot was raised from 3.4% to 3.8%, further reinforcing the "higher for longer" stance. Meanwhile, the Fed lifted its 2026 inflation forecast from 2.7% to 3.6%, underscoring that inflation remains a core constraint on current policy. In the tech sector, SpaceX’s share price has dropped from its post-IPO high of $211 to $155, a 27% decline from the peak, though still above its $135 IPO price. QCP believes the market narrative is shifting from the IPO boom to AI financing logic, with SpaceX increasingly emerging as a key component of the AI capital formation cycle. In the crypto market, Strategy continues to accumulate Bitcoin, holding 847,363 BTC—roughly 4% of the total Bitcoin supply—with an average cost basis of $75,651. QCP points out that while Strategy’s financing and accumulation mechanisms remain operational, its room to continue leveraging to add Bitcoin positions is narrowing, given the spot price is below its cost basis and preferred share prices have fallen below par value.

3 minutes ago

Data: Total value locked (TVL) in DeFi fell by 39% cumulatively in 2026, with TRON and Hyperliquid growing against the trend.

CryptoRank’s latest report shows that decentralized finance (DeFi) total value locked (TVL) has declined for six consecutive months, falling from around $115 billion in January 2026 to roughly $70 billion currently, marking a 39% year-to-date drop, a trend reflecting the ongoing correction following the 2025 crypto market peak. Data indicates that 121 security incidents have occurred in the DeFi space since the start of 2026, resulting in total losses of approximately $942 million. Among these, 85 attacks took place in the second quarter, causing around $775 million in losses, making it one of the most attack-prone quarters on record. The April attacks on Drift Protocol ($295 million) and KelpDAO ($293 million) alone account for more than half of the year’s total losses. Among the top 10 public blockchains by TVL, only TRON and Hyperliquid have posted positive growth. TRON’s year-to-date TVL rose by around 5%, driven primarily by demand for USDT transfers, stablecoin settlements, and lending services. Hyperliquid’s TVL grew by roughly 6.7%, fueled by its leading position in the on-chain perpetual contracts market and the expansion of its HyperEVM ecosystem. However, the report notes that the current DeFi downturn is significantly milder than the 2021–2022 cycle. Back then, DeFi TVL plummeted by over 70% in just seven months, while current capital is flowing more into segments like stablecoins, real-world assets (RWA), derivatives, and infrastructure, making the market structure more diversified and mature than in the previous cycle.

3 minutes ago

Binance will list OUSDT perpetual contracts, supporting up to 10x leverage.

Binance announced that to enrich contract trading options and enhance user trading experience, Binance Futures will launch the OUSDT U-based perpetual contract at 19:45 Beijing time on June 24, supporting a maximum leverage of 10x.

3 minutes ago