Is an oil price war breaking out? Saudi Aramco cuts its August crude oil prices for Asia, marking the largest such reduction in at least 26 years.

Trump said that thanks to the Trump Account, newborns today will hold a massive financial advantage by the time they turn 18. While promoting the account’s launch ceremony, he heavily touted early investment as a means to build long-term wealth, noting that the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 have all risen recently. “I think the market will skyrocket,” he said, urging families to keep investing rather than cashing out. (Jinshi)

Grayscale Research Head Zach Pandl published a note stating that in his view, Strategy’s sale of Bitcoin is a necessary move to restore market confidence in STRC and its overall structure. Last week’s partial Bitcoin sale by Strategy further reduced short-term tail risks for Bitcoin, and STRC is expected to continue performing well going forward. As previously reported, Strategy sold 3,588 Bitcoin last week, generating $216 million in proceeds to pay dividends on its digital credit securities. As of July 5, the company’s Bitcoin reserves stood at 843,775 coins, alongside $2.55 billion in U.S. dollar reserves.

Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine—the largest Ethereum treasury—told CNBC in an interview that he expects U.S. stocks will perform stronger in July, citing more reasonable market valuations and investor sentiment that has not turned overly bullish. July will kick off the second-quarter earnings season, with first-quarter corporate earnings coming in notably better than expected. The current market price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is roughly 1.1 percentage points lower than it was in January. Lee forecasts second-quarter earnings will again exceed estimates, pushing valuations down further and creating room for P/E expansion, leading him to conclude July will be a month of stronger stock performance. On whether the S&P 500 can hit 8,000 points this year, Lee said the target is achievable. He noted 8,000 points roughly corresponds to $400 in 2026 earnings per share (EPS) and a ~20x P/E ratio, but added he views current EPS estimates as too low, with the P/E multiple potentially reaching 22x or higher—implying upside could even hit 8,400 to 8,800 points by year-end. That said, Lee also warned the market could see a correction "that feels like a bear market" between August and October, not July. Many fund managers have underperformed benchmarks this year; only 23% have beaten the Nasdaq Growth Index, the lowest level in nearly five years, so July may bring significant dip-buying demand. Lee added the February-April pullback, though just ~7%, already felt like a bear market, while later this year, factors like the Fed’s new policy framework and SpaceX’s gradual stock unlocks could test the market.

According to BIT (bit.com) market data, US chip stocks rallied across the board. AMD rose 8.13%, Broadcom (AVGO) gained 5.48%, Arm (ARM) advanced 5.39%, Qualcomm (QCOM) climbed 5.15%, TSMC (TSM) increased 4.81%, Intel (INTC) rose 3.79%, and Marvell Technology (MRVL) gained 3.70%. Optical communication-related stocks led the gains: Credo (CRDO) jumped 11.14%, Astera Labs (ALAB) rose 10.08%, Ciena (CIEN) advanced 4.57%, Coherent (COHR) climbed 4.53%, Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) gained 4.19%, and Corning (GLW) rose 3.90%. The storage sector also posted gains, with Western Digital (WDC) up 9.11%, Seagate Technology (STX) gaining 5.90%, SanDisk (SNDK) rising 2.41%, and Micron Technology (MU) advancing 1.72%.

According to Bit.com's market data, the Nasdaq's gain has widened to 1%, after Trump posted that the market would surge sharply.

According to market sources, Microsoft (MSFT.O) will lay off 6,400 employees, with half of the cuts coming from a restructuring of its Xbox gaming division. The layoffs represent roughly 2.8% of the company’s total workforce. Microsoft will sell five studios, including Compulsion and DoubleFine.