An hour prior to Trump's statement, an on-chain address increased its short positions, and its $21 million long oil, short Nasdaq position has reaped substantial profits.

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, the address starting with 0xec4 opened a 20x leveraged long Brent crude oil position two days ago, then added a large 30x leveraged Nasdaq 100 (XYZ100) short position roughly one hour before Trump’s Middle East remarks triggered market volatility, finalizing the setup. Afterward, oil prices surged and risk assets came under pressure, with both positions realizing floating gains simultaneously. As of press time, the combined floating profit from the address’s two high-leverage positions stands at roughly $510,000. The Brent crude long position has returned 189%, while the Nasdaq 100 short position has gained 37%. Entry timelines: July 6 afternoon: Opened a 20x leveraged long Brent crude oil (BRENTOIL) position; July 7 evening: Initiated a base position of Nasdaq 100 mapped contracts (XYZ100) with 30x leverage, totaling ~200 contracts; This afternoon (about one hour ahead of the remarks): Significantly added to the short position, pushing XYZ100 shorts to 600 contracts, valued at ~$17.304 million, completing the setup just before the news broke. On the news front, Trump’s latest comments indicated that the temporary U.S.-Iran ceasefire arrangements may have ended, leading the market to reprice Middle East geopolitical risk premiums. Reports show crude oil futures jumped roughly 5% immediately following the remarks. Current core positions: Brent crude oil (BRENTOIL) long: 50,000 contracts, worth ~$3.915 million, average entry price $71.8645, liquidation price $37.26, floating profit ~$322,000; Nasdaq 100 mapped contracts (XYZ100) short: 600 contracts, worth ~$17.304 million, average entry price $29,108.44, liquidation price $32,119.96, floating profit ~$161,000. Separately, Hyperinsight monitoring notes that this address (goooofy) previously earned over $420,000 with a 100% win rate on Polymarket’s "Will Trump Strike Iran" prediction market.