Citi forecasts that the Bank of Korea will raise interest rates next week, adding 25 basis points each quarter in the second half of the year.
2026.07.09 09:28:17
Citi economist Jin-Wook Kim stated that after the Bank of Korea (BOK) raises its benchmark interest rate from 2.50% to 2.75% at next week’s policy meeting, it may signal a gradual pace of interest rate hikes. He expects the BOK governor to hint at 25 basis point quarterly rate hikes starting in the second half of 2026, while maintaining a data-dependent stance for the first half of 2027 without providing specific guidance. Citi forecasts the BOK will hike rates in July and October this year, and again in January and April next year. Kim added that the BOK may also highlight upside risks to its 2026 growth forecast, citing upward revisions to first-quarter growth and resilient economic activity in the second quarter.
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