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Glassnode: In the late stage of Bitcoin's bottoming process, the scale of realized losses has reached its highest point since December 2022.

1 hours ago

Glassnode says Bitcoin is in the late stages of bottom formation, but capitulation selling by long-term holders remains elevated, with the recent peak in realized losses approaching $280 million daily — the highest level since December 2022. Glassnode notes that this metric needs to shrink significantly for the market to credibly shift back into a bullish state. Last week, Bitcoin rebounded from $58,300 to $64,400 before pulling back to $62,700, and still trades below the short-term holders' cost base of roughly $72,200 and the True Market Mean of around $76,600. Net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs have narrowed but remain negative.

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Sources say Pakistan is still mediating, and the window for US-Iran talks may reopen.

According to the Iranian Students' News Agency (ISNA), Pakistani government sources have stated that Pakistan and Qatar have established new communication channels with the United States and Iran, aiming to halt military operations and facilitate the two sides to return to the negotiation process in line with the "Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding". Despite the renewed escalation of the conflict, Pakistan remains optimistic about upholding the Memorandum of Understanding.

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Strategy Launches Bitcoin-Native Credit Model to Assess Its Credit Risk

Strategy has launched a Bitcoin-native credit model to assess credit risk, credit spreads, and other metrics for debt instruments (such as convertible bonds) and preferred shares (including STRC) issued by Strategy Treasury. The model uses custom metrics—BTC Rating (Bitcoin coverage multiple), BTC Risk (default probability), and BTC Credit (spread in basis points)—to analyze the debt and preferred shares, backed by the firm’s $52 billion Bitcoin reserves. All metrics are collateralized/risk-derived from Strategy’s held Bitcoin reserves, with Bitcoin price, volatility, and ARR as core variables. Analysts note that this initiative shifts Bitcoin from a store of value to a capital efficiency tool, driving institutions to treat BTC as a financeable asset and accelerating the development of the digital credit market.

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U.S. stocks opened slightly higher, with Micron rising more than 6%, Meta down 3.4%, and the storage and CPO sectors seeing broad-based rebounds.

U.S. stocks opened, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.08%, the S&P 500 rising 0.2%, and the Nasdaq climbing 0.2%. According to market data from BIT (bit.com), Micron Technology jumped over 6% as the company plans to expand its U.S. investment scale to more than $250 billion by 2035. Qualcomm gained 1.9%, while Meta fell 3.4%—the company is set to start production of an AI chip in September. Memory stocks rallied broadly: STX rose 6.77%, WDC climbed 7.02%, and SanDisk advanced 4.93%. CPO concept stocks also saw a sharp rebound, with AAOI up 5.81% and LITE gaining 7.97%. AI equipment manufacturing stocks also performed strongly, with LRCX jumping 10.76% and AMAT rising 9.87%. Among other key heavyweight stocks, Nvidia edged down 0.11%, while SPCX gained 1.47%.

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U.S. regulators propose to block CME Group’s application to launch 24-hour oil contracts.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) plans to block Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)’s application to quickly launch 24/7 oil contracts, amid concerns that energy markets are not ready for an influx of large volumes of all-day derivatives contracts. CME said in June it planned to offer 24/7 trading for a futures contract tied to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, denominated in 10-barrel lots, citing investor demand to manage positions “whenever news breaks.” On Wednesday, CME filed a self-certification application for the new product, which means the CFTC has only one day to intervene before the contract can be listed for trading. According to people familiar with the matter, the CFTC plans to block CME’s self-certification. CFTC Chair Michael Selesinger has met with executives from energy firms including Shell, Vitol, BP and ExxonMobil in recent weeks. Another application CME submitted for the same product, which requires a 45-day review period, is still under regulatory consideration.

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Mantle Super Portal has migrated to Chainlink CCIP, bringing institutional-grade security for MNT cross-chain transfers.

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Ahead of the US stock market opening, a crypto whale plans to go long on Nasdaq 100 index positions worth approximately $22 million.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa)’s monitoring, address 0x3e7…f1589 deposited 5 million USDC at 7:30 PM tonight, then opened a 20x long position in XYZ100 (which tracks the Nasdaq 100 index) worth $16.63 million at an entry price of 29,458. Currently, over $5.3 million worth of TWAP orders are still being filled gradually, with the final position valued at around $22 million.

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