Wall Street big banks' earnings season is about to kick off, with SpaceX's IPO and fluctuations in the Iran situation likely to boost investment banks' revenue.
2026.07.13 20:11:29
JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs will kick off the second-quarter earnings season on Tuesday, while Morgan Stanley will report its results on Wednesday. Market expectations point to a sharp rise in investment banking and trading revenues for major U.S. banks, driven by SpaceX’s IPO, a pickup in M&A activity and market volatility sparked by tensions in Iran. KBW analysts forecast that investment banking revenues for large U.S. banks will rise around 26% year-over-year in Q2, while trading revenues will grow roughly 14% YoY. Notably, SpaceX’s IPO has generated underwriting and debt financing fees for Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, as well as substantial "soft dollar" revenues from oversubscribed placements. Additionally, as investment in AI infrastructure continues to expand, corporate loan demand has started to pick up, with commercial lending also showing signs of recovery. Analysts note that, fueled by active capital markets, solid consumer credit and improved corporate financing demand, the U.S. banking sector is entering a rare profit "sweet spot" in recent years. However, the market’s focus has now shifted to whether this growth momentum can hold through 2027.
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