18 research heads at South Korean securities firms assessed the country's stock market, with more than half believing the KOSPI will not fall below 6,000 points.
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According to South Korean media Hankyung, the South Korean KOSPI index fell 4.46% today, breaking below the 6,500-point mark since the end of April. In terms of capital flows, institutions recorded a massive net sell of 920 billion won, while individual investors and foreign investors posted net purchases of around 350 billion won and 510 billion won respectively. Selling pressure was mainly concentrated in semiconductor stocks, driven by leverage products, derivatives, and market stabilization program trading. The media conducted targeted interviews with heads of research centers at 18 securities firms; half of them (9) predicted the KOSPI’s downside support level would be between 6,000 and 6,500 points, while another 4 heads believed the support level would range from 6,500 to 7,000 points. However, some analysts argued the market bottom could be lower: one securities firm estimated the downside could reach as low as 4,600 points, while KB Securities forecast that in a worst-case scenario, the 6-month downside support level would drop to 4,500 points. As for the main cause of the correction, 10 research heads cited concerns over the peak of the semiconductor cycle (doubts about the sustainability of AI investment and memory demand) as the top factor, while another 7 noted that leverage factors cannot be ignored. Additionally, 6 securities firms (including Daishin, Samsung, Hana, IBK, SK, and KB) projected a rebound within July, but it would not replicate the strong performance seen in the first half of the year.
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