The semiconductor sector has become the main driver of S&P 500 earnings growth, and it may contribute a record 48% to that growth in the second quarter.
1 days ago
The Kobeissi Letter noted that tech stocks now hold a historic share of S&P 500 earnings growth. In the first quarter of 2026, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft collectively contributed approximately 34% of the S&P 500’s year-over-year earnings per share growth, with semiconductor firms adding another 31%, and the rest of the index’s constituents combining for roughly 36%. Together, these two groups accounted for 65% of the S&P 500’s Q1 earnings growth—up from 52% in the year-ago period—indicating the index’s profit growth remains heavily concentrated in large tech companies and the semiconductor sector. Turning to the upcoming second-quarter earnings season, semiconductor firms’ contribution to S&P 500 earnings growth is forecast to jump 17 percentage points from Q1 to a record 48%, while the contribution from Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft is projected to fall 25 percentage points to around 9%. The S&P 500’s earnings growth leadership is shifting from large tech platform firms to the semiconductor industry.
AMD saw a short-term drop of more than 5%, while Helios has entered full-scale production and is nearing shipment.
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SpaceX has released the live stream page for its 13th Starship flight, with today’s launch probability currently reported at 64%.
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Citrini’s view: Bullish on AMD, bearish on NVIDIA. Coding AI is eroding NVIDIA’s competitive moat from the software side, marking the end of its CUDA moat.
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Data: Approximately 75% of BMEX tokens have never been claimed or put into circulation, with only 8% allocated at the time of listing.
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UK HMRC discloses crypto tax recovery results: More than £8 million recouped over two years.
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