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Fed Mouthpiece: July FOMC Interest Rate Decision Outcome Remains Unpredictable, Oil Price Rebound and Tariff Risks Reignite Inflation Concerns

1 hours ago

Nick Timiraos, a Wall Street Journal reporter widely known as the "Fed’s mouthpiece," said the Federal Reserve’s July 28-29 policy meeting will be one of the most unpredictable in recent years. Resurgent oil prices, rising risks tied to U.S. tariff policies, and some officials’ public shift toward supporting interest rate hikes are challenging the consensus for keeping rates steady. Data from the CME Group shows market expectations for a July rate hike have risen from roughly 10% last weekend to around one-third. The Fed’s 18 officials already hold clear divisions on whether additional rate increases are needed this year: half project at least a 25 basis point hike, while the other half see no need for adjustments. New Chair Wash has deliberately remained silent since taking office, refusing to provide forward guidance, leaving investors to guess policy directions blindly from remarks by other Fed officials.

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Goldman Sachs CEO publicly supports the CLARITY Act, diverging from his banking peers on stablecoin yield provisions.

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon has explicitly voiced support for advancing the CLARITY Act in an interview, while acknowledging the legislation is not perfect. "Like all legislation, the CLARITY Act has many areas open to debate and discussion, but I think one of the most important things it does is create a level playing field to enhance market stability and enable these markets to develop properly. I strongly support advancing the CLARITY Act so that we can establish market structures and kickstart the innovation process." Solomon’s endorsement comes as Republican senators are discussing an updated version of the bill, with a possible full Senate vote next week, marking another step forward for the long-awaited crypto market structure legislation. His supportive stance stands in sharp contrast to fierce opposition from fellow banking executives including JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon. Dimon said in May that the latest bill version "allows them to effectively pay interest on things like deposits and stablecoins without necessary protections," warning "banks will not accept this approach, and it will eventually blow up." JPMorgan also argued in a June blog post that companies offering products with functions similar to traditional bank accounts should be subject to equivalent regulation and consumer protection rules. The core of the controversy revolves around the stablecoin interest provisions.

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Tesla's losses widened to 12% in early trading, weighed down by negative free cash flow.

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