Controversy over Morgan Stanley’s bearish stance on South Korea’s semiconductor sector intensifies, weighing on its investment banking business in the country.
1 hours ago
South Korea’s stock market posted sharp declines today, with SK Hynix plunging over 8% and Samsung Electronics falling more than 7%. Some analysts attribute the sell-off to a recent bearish report on memory chips released by Shawn Kim, head of Asia Tech Research at Morgan Stanley, though others argue the report may not be the direct cause of the market drop. In his July 21 report, Kim noted that the AI-driven memory chip boom is nearing an inflection point, with memory contract prices likely to peak in the fourth quarter, and the share of upward earnings revisions has dropped from 92% to 77%. The report also pointed out that NAND module manufacturers’ inventories have risen to around 13 weeks, approaching the peak of roughly 15 weeks recorded during the pandemic, and put forward the trading logic: "Sell DRAM when NAND turns down." Separately, Morgan Stanley was excluded from the joint lead underwriter lineup for SK Hynix’s roughly $265 billion American Depositary Receipt (ADR) listing. The selected underwriters are Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase, leaving Morgan Stanley as the only top-tier investment bank left out. At a 0.5% underwriting fee rate, the total commission for the project is approximately $130 million. Multiple banking sources said Morgan Stanley’s Seoul office has launched internal reflection on whether its consistent negative semiconductor reports have harmed its investment banking business. Beyond the SK Hynix deal, Morgan Stanley has recently been embroiled in disputes over SpaceX’s share placement and the sale of IGIS Asset Management in South Korea. These incidents further highlight the tension between the research department’s independence and the commercial interests of investment banking, and have amplified its reputation and business pressure in the South Korean market.
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