Money supply growth in major global economies far outpaces economic growth, with long-term monetary expansion sparking concerns over structural risks.
2 hours ago
Data shows that since January 2004, the growth of broad money supply (M2) in major advanced economies globally has significantly outpaced nominal GDP growth: Canada’s M2 rose 368% against 159% nominal GDP growth; the U.S. saw M2 up 279% and GDP up 171%; France: M2 up 258%, GDP up 84%; Eurozone: M2 up 211%, GDP up 102%; Japan: M2 up 90%, GDP up 25%. Analysts point out that over the past two decades, low interest rates, quantitative easing, and large-scale fiscal stimulus between 2020 and 2021 have fueled the continuous expansion of global liquidity. Central bank money supply increases, government deficit expansion, and bank credit growth have together created a long-term environment of monetary excess. Some economists argue that due to a decline in money velocity and massive capital inflows into financial asset markets, excess liquidity is more reflected in rising asset prices rather than directly driving up consumer prices. However, in the long term, sustained monetary growth outpacing economic output may bring risks of asset inflation, currency depreciation, or future consumer inflation pressures. Japan is viewed as an extreme case: its money supply has surged sharply while GDP has remained stagnant for a long period, with inflation levels staying persistently low. Canada, by contrast, shows a strong correlation between monetary expansion, a real estate boom, and rising household leverage.
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