Hong Hao: Tech stock correction window may last until the end of August, though a double-digit rebound could occur in the short term.
1 hours ago
At Binance's offline private sharing event, renowned economist Hong Hao stated that the large-scale correction window previously forecast by his team has opened, and is expected to last until around the end of August. A short-term double-digit rebound is possible, but the market remains in a deleveraging phase, so investors should exercise more patience. Hong Hao pointed out that South Korea's KOSPI index has now fallen significantly from its peak, and the market is entering a phase where "bulls deploy on dips while bears exit via stop-losses". Given that the index's weight is highly concentrated in a small number of tech giants, their fundamental performance will remain the key factor in judging whether the market has truly bottomed out. When asked whether investors should immediately allocate to tech stocks, Hong Hao said that market bottom signals are expected to become clearer over the next two to three weeks, so exercising patience is more important before that. He warned that a typical asset bubble burst often involves a correction of two-thirds or even more. While the market has already fallen by around 50% so far, further downside cannot be ruled out. Hong Hao also noted that besides price trends, factors such as South Korea's regulatory policies, deleveraging process, and overseas leveraged ETFs' impact on the market need to be monitored. He added that if this round of correction is completed quickly, it will also provide more attractive entry opportunities for investors who are bullish on related assets in the long term.
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