Lookonchain APP

App Store

Bridgewater's Ray Dalio warns: The AI revolution is real, but high valuations and leverage may be creating a new bubble.

54 minutes ago

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, stated that AI has revolutionary value capable of transforming production methods, but the current market has already shown some characteristics aligning with historical bubble patterns. Investors may overlook the gap between technological value and market prices. When asset valuations far exceed actual profitability and the funding environment tightens, bubble risks could quickly emerge. Dalio noted that bubble bursts are typically amplified through debt chains: falling asset prices reduce collateral values, forcing highly leveraged investors to sell assets to repay debts, which in turn drives prices down further. If inflation rebounds and prompts central banks to raise interest rates, higher financing costs could also exacerbate market repricing. He believes the global economy is in a long-term "big cycle" shaped by debt accumulation, widening wealth gaps, political division, and shifts in the international power structure. Investors should avoid concentrating wealth in a single asset and reduce risks via diversified allocations including stocks, cash, gold, bonds, and real estate. As a hard asset that is not easily created, gold can play a role in diversifying risks during periods of currency devaluation and rising financial stress. Regarding the job market, Dalio holds that AI will replace some repetitive intellectual tasks, and those who can collaborate with AI and continuously adapt to changes will gain an edge in the future. He emphasized that technological progress will not halt even if the economy enters a recession.

Relevant content

A prominent trader has stated that Bitcoin has entered an accumulation range, and is not expected to retest the $36,000 to $48,000 zone.

Well-known trader Killa stated in a post that Bitcoin is unlikely to see the deep capitulation wick widely anticipated by the market, nor will it fall further to the $36,000–$48,000 range. He noted that in past bear cycles, Bitcoin typically forms three key lows, with the last two being the most critical. Bitcoin previously swept the $59,000 level, showing a minor bullish divergence, but failed to break lower with significant momentum afterward. If the market were indeed preparing to drop further toward $40,000, that decline would have already occurred, he argued. Killa believes Bitcoin is now clearly in an accumulation zone, with $57,000 acting as a key benchmark for the overall bottom. Prices could still dip briefly below this level, but a sustained plunge to the extreme lows the market expects is not anticipated. Historical trends support this view: Bitcoin has swept key lows as it did in every prior cycle, and the significance of this signal may be underestimated by the market.

2 minutes ago

The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher, with Amazon surging more than 11%.

According to market data from BIT (bit.com), U.S. stock markets opened with major indices trading higher: the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5%, the S&P 500 gained 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.8%. Apple (AAPL.O) fell 8% after its Q4 revenue guidance missed expectations. Amazon (AMZN.O) jumped over 11%, as its Q2 cloud business growth hit a four-year high.

2 minutes ago

At the opening of US stock markets, semiconductor, optical communication and storage stocks extended their rally, with AAOI and ALAB both surging more than 13%.

According to BIT (bit.com) market data, after US stocks opened on Friday, the semiconductor, optical communications and storage sectors generally strengthened, extending their gains from the previous day. Most semiconductor stocks rose, with Marvell Technology (MRVL) up 8.54%, SK Hynix (SKHY) up 8.09%, Intel (INTC) up 6.90%, Arm (ARM) up 6.88%, Lam Research (LRCX) up 6.60%, Applied Materials (AMAT) up 6.34%, and AMD (AMD) up 6.13%. Optical communication-related stocks led the gains, with Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) up 13.38%, Astera Labs (ALAB) up 13.25%, Coherent (COHR) up 11.91%, Lumentum (LITE) up 10.12%, Corning (GLW) up 7.68%, and Credo (CRDO) up 7.15%. The entire storage sector rose across the board, with SanDisk (SNDK) up 8.49%, SK Hynix (SKHY) up 8.09%, Western Digital (WDC) up 7.84%, Seagate Technology (STX) up 7.63%, and Micron Technology (MU) up 5.91%.

2 minutes ago

Sources familiar with the matter: The U.S. Treasury Department has notified banks that it may intervene in the yen market as early as Friday.

According to market sources, a person familiar with the matter revealed that the U.S. Treasury has notified banks of a possible intervention in the yen market on Friday. (Jinshi)

2 minutes ago

Trump: Iran War 'Progressing Smoothly'

According to Fox News, US President Donald Trump stated that the Iran war is "progressing smoothly", the US is dealing heavy blows to Iran, and "we have been winning". (Jinshi)

2 minutes ago

South Korea’s Doosan Group invested 2.3 trillion won to acquire a 70.6% stake in SK Siltron, ramping up its semiconductor sector expansion.

According to South Korean media reports, South Korea’s Doosan Group has signed an agreement with SK Group to acquire semiconductor wafer manufacturer SK Siltron. With the completion of the transaction, Doosan is expected to further enhance its competitiveness in the semiconductor industry, building on its core businesses such as energy and machinery. Doosan, the holding company of Doosan Group, disclosed on the 31st that it has signed a share purchase agreement with SK Group to acquire a 70.6% stake in SK Siltron held by SK, with a transaction value of 2.3 trillion won. However, the 29.4% stake held personally by SK Group Chairman Choi Tae-won is not included in the acquisition. SK Siltron is South Korea’s only semiconductor silicon wafer manufacturer, ranking third in global market share for 12-inch wafers. Last year, the firm’s corporate valuation exceeded 5 trillion won.

2 minutes ago