Lookonchain APP

App Store

What If You Bought $100K of BTC vs ETH in 2017? The Results Are Brutal for ETH Holders

Alec Bakhouch
/2025.04.11 00:19:19
If you invested $100K in BTC vs ETH in 2017, BTC would now be worth $2M, while ETH just $375K—a 7x difference. While Bitcoin stayed true to its vision, Ethereum pivoted multiple times and faced deeper drawdowns. The conclusion? BTC delivered higher returns, less drama, and stronger long-term certainty.

You bought $100k of Bitcoin or Ethereum in Sept 2017.
It’s now 2025.
How bad was the decision to buy ETH instead? 
I ran the real numbers.... and it's rough for ETH holders 🧵👇

The setup:
• Bitcoin (BTC) price in Sept 2017 = $4,000
• Ethereum (ETH) price in Sept 2017 = $400

Your $100k investment would have bought:
• 25 BTC
• 250 ETH

Pretty even math. But the outcomes?
Wildly different.

Today’s prices:
• BTC ≈ $80,000
• ETH ≈ $1,500

So today your stack would be worth:
• 25 BTC × $80,000 = $2,000,000
• 250 ETH × $1,500 = $375,000

Bitcoin turned $100k into $2M.
Ethereum turned $100k into $375k.

Simple ROI:
• Bitcoin = +1,900%
• Ethereum = +275%

In other words:
Bitcoin outperformed Ethereum by 7x.
And that’s before considering risk.
Let’s talk about that…

• Bitcoin = 1 chain, 1 mission, 1 monetary policy.
• Ethereum = hard forks, experiments, pivots.

Ethereum went from:
• PoW → PoS
• “World Computer” → “Settlement Layer” → “Everything Chain” → “Restaking Casino”
If you bought ETH in 2017, you’re not holding the same asset anymore.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has done exactly what it promised:
• Stayed decentralized
• Stayed predictable
• Stayed unstoppable

No pivots. 
No drama. (Only on Twitter 😂)
No Hard Forks. (Blocksize Wars) 
That’s the whole point.

Volatility hits differently too:
• Bitcoin had -84% drawdowns
• Ethereum had -95% drawdowns 

Bitcoin punished weak hands.
Ethereum obliterated them.
Almost nobody rode ETH from 2017 → 2025 without getting wrecked along the way.

Today’s momentum:
• Bitcoin = Clear regulatory approval, ETFs, sovereign accumulation, global money narrative, corporate adoption. 
• Ethereum = Fighting for relevance vs alt-L1s, regulatory scrutiny, endless scaling issues. 

Bitcoin keeps winning bigger battles.
Ethereum keeps trying to reinvent itself.

The real conclusion:
In 2017, Bitcoin looked "boring" and "old."
In 2025, Bitcoin looks inevitable.
Meanwhile, Ethereum looks more and more like Silicon Valley tech — trendy, fragile, replaceable.
You don’t build generational wealth chasing experiments.
You build it by owning certainty.

Summary:
• $100k BTC in 2017 → $2M
• $100k ETH in 2017 → $375k

It’s not even close.
Bitcoin didn’t just protect your wealth better.
It multiplied it better.
And the best part?
The next 10 years will be even bigger.
Stack accordingly. 🧠

Relevant content
Who Really Paid for This Bull Market? Bitcoin’s Shift from Crypto Cycles to Wall Street Plumbing

This article dissects why Bitcoin’s latest bull cycle felt muted despite historic adoption. As ETFs, DATs, miners, and institutions reshaped liquidity, volatility collapsed, retail faded, and crypto-native capital sold into strength—marking BTC’s transition into a fully financialized asset.

DoveyWan/11 hours ago

Inside a Polymarket Bot: How Mechanical Hedging Locks in Risk-Free Profit

This article breaks down how a Polymarket bot exploits short-term mispricings without predicting direction. By asymmetrically buying YES and NO and keeping their combined cost below $1, traders can mathematically lock in profit on Polymarket—pure structure, no luck.

Jayden/2 days ago

Trading the Meme: How Polymarket’s Most Mocked Market Becomes a Consistent Cash Machine

The “Jesus Christ return” market on Polymarket isn’t about belief—it’s about structure. Low liquidity, recurring whale sell-offs, and attention cycles create repeatable 2–3 trades for those who buy panic and sell rebounds, year after year.

Dexter's Lab/5 days ago

How a Polymarket Trader Lost $2M in 35 Days: A Case Study in Negative Expectancy

A deep dive into how trader “beachboy4” lost over $2M on Polymarket despite a 51% win rate. The analysis shows how overpaying for consensus, all-in bets, and ignoring probability-based risk management made losses inevitable.

Lookonchain/2026.01.05Original

The Ultimate Swing Trading Playbook: How Concentration and Volume Drive Big Wins

A firsthand guide to swing trading built on extreme focus, volume analysis, and catalysts. By going all-in on one high-conviction stock at a time, this strategy shows how attention, patience, and discipline can outperform diversification.

Kevin Xu/2026.01.04

Crypto Narratives to Watch in 2026: From GambleFi to AI-Native Infrastructure

Crypto in 2026 will be driven by new narratives forming early today—from prediction markets and community ICOs to privacy-first apps, neo-banking wallets, DePINs, perp DEXs, and AI as core infrastructure shaping on-chain finance.

HEADBOY/2025.12.31