What If You Bought $100K of BTC vs ETH in 2017? The Results Are Brutal for ETH Holders

You bought $100k of Bitcoin or Ethereum in Sept 2017.
It’s now 2025.
How bad was the decision to buy ETH instead?
I ran the real numbers.... and it's rough for ETH holders 🧵👇
The setup:
• Bitcoin (BTC) price in Sept 2017 = $4,000
• Ethereum (ETH) price in Sept 2017 = $400
Your $100k investment would have bought:
• 25 BTC
• 250 ETH
Pretty even math. But the outcomes?
Wildly different.
Today’s prices:
• BTC ≈ $80,000
• ETH ≈ $1,500
So today your stack would be worth:
• 25 BTC × $80,000 = $2,000,000
• 250 ETH × $1,500 = $375,000
Bitcoin turned $100k into $2M.
Ethereum turned $100k into $375k.
Simple ROI:
• Bitcoin = +1,900%
• Ethereum = +275%
In other words:
Bitcoin outperformed Ethereum by 7x.
And that’s before considering risk.
Let’s talk about that…
• Bitcoin = 1 chain, 1 mission, 1 monetary policy.
• Ethereum = hard forks, experiments, pivots.
Ethereum went from:
• PoW → PoS
• “World Computer” → “Settlement Layer” → “Everything Chain” → “Restaking Casino”
If you bought ETH in 2017, you’re not holding the same asset anymore.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin has done exactly what it promised:
• Stayed decentralized
• Stayed predictable
• Stayed unstoppable
No pivots.
No drama. (Only on Twitter 😂)
No Hard Forks. (Blocksize Wars)
That’s the whole point.
Volatility hits differently too:
• Bitcoin had -84% drawdowns
• Ethereum had -95% drawdowns
Bitcoin punished weak hands.
Ethereum obliterated them.
Almost nobody rode ETH from 2017 → 2025 without getting wrecked along the way.
Today’s momentum:
• Bitcoin = Clear regulatory approval, ETFs, sovereign accumulation, global money narrative, corporate adoption.
• Ethereum = Fighting for relevance vs alt-L1s, regulatory scrutiny, endless scaling issues.
Bitcoin keeps winning bigger battles.
Ethereum keeps trying to reinvent itself.
The real conclusion:
In 2017, Bitcoin looked "boring" and "old."
In 2025, Bitcoin looks inevitable.
Meanwhile, Ethereum looks more and more like Silicon Valley tech — trendy, fragile, replaceable.
You don’t build generational wealth chasing experiments.
You build it by owning certainty.
Summary:
• $100k BTC in 2017 → $2M
• $100k ETH in 2017 → $375k
It’s not even close.
Bitcoin didn’t just protect your wealth better.
It multiplied it better.
And the best part?
The next 10 years will be even bigger.
Stack accordingly. 🧠
The consensus among analysts is that upcoming Fed rate cuts will inject massive liquidity into the market, sparking a mega altseason. They predict Bitcoin could hit $150k+ and Ethereum $10k by late 2025, arguing that this setup is a familiar pattern from previous market cycles.
Lookonchain/23 hours ago

This article argues that Bitcoins recent price action is not from weak demand, but a deliberate manipulation cycle by market makers. They use leveraged futures to create the illusion of weakness and liquidate retail traders, allowing them to accumulate at lower prices. The author argues this is a familiar pattern from past cycles, and this suppression will eventually lead to a massive parabolic run that breaks the cycle.
Ash Crypto/2 days ago

This report warns that Bitcoin is in a distribution phase, not an accumulation phase. The author points to a massive $13 billion whale sell-off and slowing ETF inflows, arguing that whales are using retail enthusiasm as exit liquidity. The report concludes with a firm prediction that a major downside move is coming, with a key liquidity zone for Bitcoin at $90K–$94K.
Doctor Profit/3 days ago

Arthur Hayes is best known as the former CEO of BitMex. However, he is also an influential and provocative essayist and crypto commentator who was convicted, then pardoned, for violating the Bank Secrecy Act
Arkham/6 days ago

The author predicts that a new altseason is starting as money rotates into Ethereum and large-cap altcoins. To prepare, the author shares a personal portfolio of top picks across the DeFi, AI, and memecoin narratives, including $PEPE, $SOL, and $ENA. The strategy is to position now before the rally, with a plan to scale out of positions at new all-time highs.
Mister Crypto/7 days ago

This article argues that a recessionary crash is inevitable, based on the historic inversion and normalization of the yield curve. Despite a longer-than-usual delay, the author maintains a firm bearish outlook and predicts Bitcoin will drop to the $90K–$94K range. The author outlines a clear plan to sell spot holdings and take short positions in anticipation of this coming move.
Doctor Profit/2025.09.11

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