Lookonchain APP

App Store

BTC Sunday Update: Why the Market May Be Ready to Rebound After October’s Shakeout

CrypNuevo
/2025.12.22 20:52:17
After major market makers suffered losses on October 10th, forced selling likely exhausted. With BTC trading 25% lower and little supply left to sell, the market may be poised for a rebound into year-end if it clears resistance around $94.5K and $100K.

$BTC Sunday update:

What really happened on October 10th?

From trusted intel I received this week, supposedly, several Market Makers caught in the volatility had big losses on October 10th.

Consequently, they've been selling assets to rebalance. What does this mean?

It means that there shoudn't be much left to sell.

They started selling  from $115k-$110k, and they could be buying now at these levels, 25% cheaper.

And if price pumped, they would recover most of their losses.

The question is, who is left to sell? how much is left to sell?

I believe that there probably isn’t much left to sell right now.

So the main bearish scenario is a sweep of the lows. 

Losing $80k would take price to the next support at $73k-$72k, but this information makes it more unlikely - unless if there is a new trigger for it to happen.

With this information, it wouldn't surprise me to see an aggresive pump by EOY and the start of 2026.

Clearing the local resistance at $94.5k (matches with the 1D50EMA) would be a clear sign. And then, it'd face a strong resistance at $100k.

Market in fear, little left to sell.

Relevant content
When Wall Street Owns Bitcoin: ETF Concentration, Losses, and the Search for a New Narrative

Nearly 10% of Bitcoin is now held by Strategy and spot ETFs. With average ETF cost bases above price, $7B+ in unrealized losses and record outflows show normie capital under pressure—leaving BTC dependent on a fresh narrative to reaccelerate.

Jim Bianco/2026.02.03

Why Bitcoin Fell While “Crypto” Bled: The Contagion Trade Explained

Bitcoin’s weak year isn’t OG selling or a “silent IPO.” It’s crypto contagion. Illiquid altcoins forced insiders to sell BTC to prop up air-token markets, while disciplined capital (ETFs, MSTR, Wall St) drained volatility and killed alt-season rotations.

Bit Paine/2026.01.28

Gold at $5,000 Is Not Bitcoin’s Failure—It’s the First Act

Gold’s parabolic breakout isn’t a Bitcoin defeat but the same debasement trade unfolding in phases. Gold moves first as the hedge for states; Bitcoin follows as the hedge for people. They trend together long term, but cycle apart short term.

Swan/2026.01.27

The 2026 Rotation Playbook: How 100 Still Happens in Crypto

100 gains didn’t disappear—they changed form. In a hyper-diluted market, winners stack gains by rotating early between narratives, not holding forever. This playbook explains how to spot rotations, size positions, take profits, and compound phases in 2026.

cyclop/2026.01.22

Seven Trading Lessons That Turned Pain Into Process

A veteran trader distills seven hard-earned lessons that prevent blown accounts and emotional spirals. From market context and risk control to playbooks, journaling, and process-first thinking, this guide shows how consistency—not signals—builds long-term trading edge.

Morin/2026.01.21

Draining the Bots: How a Trader Made $233K Exploiting Polymarket’s Thin Liquidity

A trader pulled off a $233K overnight play on Polymarket by exploiting thin weekend liquidity. By baiting market-making bots in 15-minute markets and briefly nudging spot price, he forced mispricing and cashed out risk-efficiently.

PredictTrader/2026.01.19