View: Bitcoin Set to Enter Final Accumulation Phase of This Cycle, Maximum Drawdown Could Exceed 40%
**Bitcoin Drops 52% From Oct 2025 Peak; Death Cross Signal Active 30 Days, Alicharts Reports**
April 2nd — Analyst Alicharts says Bitcoin has fallen 52% from its October 2025 all-time high, with a 3-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) cross signal (a death cross of the 50-period and 200-period SMAs) emerging on February 27th. The signal has now persisted for 30 days, and historical patterns point to a final accumulation window within the next 3–6 days or this cycle.
Alicharts adds that in every major Bitcoin cycle since 2014, the 50/200 SMA cross has marked an absolute bottom and a golden buying opportunity. Past cycles show a final 40–52% drop occurs 23–33 days after the cross, wrapping up the bear market shakeout. This cycle’s potential shakeout target ranges from $30,000 to $40,000, with the next bull market set to follow.
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The 'Buy High, Sell Low' Whale's Massive Crude Oil Short and BTC Long Positions Liquidated in a $9.76M Margin Call, Believed to Be the Largest Liquidation Address for Crude Oil Across the Network
April 2nd — Per HyperInsight monitoring, a whale address (0x965) was fully liquidated after taking losses on both a BrentOil short position and a BTC long position amid a sharp crude oil rally and steep BTC price drop yesterday. The liquidation marked the day’s largest single liquidation across the network and topped the list for total liquidation size of large commodity positions network-wide. Details follow:
- **BrentOil Short Position**: Total liquidation value of $4.69 million, resulting in ~$137,000 in losses. The address has since opened a new 20x leveraged short position worth $5.67 million, with a liquidation price of $107.3.
- **BTC Long Position**: 75.3 long positions liquidated (equivalent to $5.06 million total), causing ~$70,000 in losses. A single liquidation within this position reached $4.05 million.
Sources note the address repeatedly chased rallies and faded drops during yesterday’s volatile crude oil session. Within three hours, both long and short positions
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Trump's Speech Wipes Out Bitcoin's Two-Day Gain, Market Retests the $67,000 Range
Bitcoin led a pullback in the crypto market once again on April 2, following a tough speech by former U.S. President Donald Trump.
Per HTX market data, Bitcoin fell below $67,000 and was last trading at $66,819.76 as of press time, with a 24-hour decline of 3.01%.
Coinglass figures show total liquidations across the network reached $138 million over the past four hours, with long positions accounting for $116 million of that total.
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An ETH Whale Long has been liquidated multiple times, with a total of 8 million USD liquidated in the latest round. The next liquidation price is at 2076 USD.
April 2nd — Per HyperInsight monitoring (via https://t.me/HyperInsight), a whale with an address starting with 0x338 faced mounting pressure on its 25x-leveraged ETH long position during a short-term market slump. The position was previously valued at $21.2 million.
As prices fell, the address actively cut its ETH long position by 2,400 coins to tweak its liquidation price—but 3,833 long positions still got liquidated, totaling ~$8.04 million. The combined value of active reductions and forced liquidations reached $13.1 million, making this the address with the largest on-chain liquidation size in this round of ETH liquidations.
Currently, the address still holds a $7.87 million ETH long position, with an average entry price of $2,105 and a liquidation price of $2,076.
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Whale Trader "pension-usdt.eth" Secures 21 Consecutive Wins, Latest Short Position Enjoying $2.21 Million Profit
April 2nd — Per LookOnChain monitoring, as Bitcoin fell below $67,000, crypto swing trader whale "pension-usdt.eth" locked in a 21-game winning streak. His current short position holds a floating profit of $2.21 million, pushing his total gains past $32.65 million.
As reported yesterday, the whale opened a 3x leveraged short position using 500 BTC.
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