View: Bitcoin Set to Enter Final Accumulation Phase of This Cycle, Maximum Drawdown Could Exceed 40%

**Bitcoin Drops 52% From Oct 2025 Peak; Death Cross Signal Active 30 Days, Alicharts Reports** April 2nd — Analyst Alicharts says Bitcoin has fallen 52% from its October 2025 all-time high, with a 3-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) cross signal (a death cross of the 50-period and 200-period SMAs) emerging on February 27th. The signal has now persisted for 30 days, and historical patterns point to a final accumulation window within the next 3–6 days or this cycle. Alicharts adds that in every major Bitcoin cycle since 2014, the 50/200 SMA cross has marked an absolute bottom and a golden buying opportunity. Past cycles show a final 40–52% drop occurs 23–33 days after the cross, wrapping up the bear market shakeout. This cycle’s potential shakeout target ranges from $30,000 to $40,000, with the next bull market set to follow.