Analysis: Bitcoin Bear Market Enters Late Stage, $64,000 Key Support Level
March 26 (Cointelegraph) — Bitcoin has once again fallen below $70,000, with multiple on-chain and technical indicators signaling the current bear market is entering its late stage.
On-chain data shows Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has dropped below 0.25, placing it in the “Hope/Fear Zone.” CryptoQuant analyst The Enigma Trader noted this means ~40% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply is in a loss position, while the Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 15 (indicating “extreme fear”) — reflecting “pain and uncertainty.” He added that a NUPL rebound above 0.25 would signal a shift to the optimistic zone, a transition historically aligned with strengthening price momentum.
Glassnode reported the 7-day average of Relative Unrealized Loss has stabilized at 15%. Historically, resolving this level of embedded losses requires time, further price declines, or a sustained influx of significant fresh capital in a compressed timeframe. Additionally, Bitcoin’s entity-adjusted realized
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Mainstream Perp DEX Overview: Overall Trading Volume Retreated, with EdgeX Trading Volume Ranking Second
On March 26, data from DefiLlama reveals that trading volumes across major perpetual futures DEX platforms have generally declined, while open interest remains elevated.
Among these platforms, Hyperliquid’s 24-hour trading volume dropped by roughly 11%, with open interest seeing only a minor change but staying at high levels. The latest 24-hour trading volume and open interest rankings are as follows:
- **Hyperliquid** (link: https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/join/NTOD): ~$7.03B trading volume; ~$7.06B open interest
- **EdgeX**: ~$3.03B trading volume; ~$1.20B open interest
- **Aster** (link: https://www.asterdex.com/en/referral/aboter): ~$2.03B trading volume; ~$1.92B open interest
- **Lighter** (link: https://app.lighter.xyz/?referral=70045843): ~$2.00B trading volume; ~$690M open interest
- **Grvt**: ~$1.48B trading volume; ~$474M open interest
- **Pacifica** (link: https://app.pacifica.fi/trade/PAXG?referral=pacbot): ~$344M trading volume; ~$74.52M open interest
Note:
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Trump: Iran Should Get Serious Quickly to Avoid Being "Too Late"
March 26: U.S. President Trump said Iran needs to get serious soon — or it’ll be too late. Once the negotiation window closes, there’s no turning back, and the outcome won’t be pretty.
Iran’s negotiating team is quite different — even "strange." They’re "begging" us to strike a deal, which makes sense: they’ve been militarily devastated with no chance of bouncing back. (Golden Finance)
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The US Department of Labor's proposed rule has passed White House review, which will determine whether retirement funds can invest in crypto assets
March 26 — The U.S. Department of Labor’s proposed rule targeting changes to investment options in the $10 trillion domestic 401(k) market has cleared White House regulatory review, moving one step closer to official release.
The Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) finished its review of the rule on March 24, clearing the way for the Labor Department to formally publish the proposal in the coming weeks. If finalized, the rule would amend trustee guidance for plans covered by the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA), potentially allowing plan sponsors to include cryptocurrency and private equity among designated investment options.
The proposal stems from an executive order signed by former President Donald Trump last year, which directed the Labor Department to make it easier for participant-directed defined contribution plans to include alternative assets.
That executive order also instructed the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Tr
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