A certain whale, who is long on 80,000 ETH, is now sitting on a unrealized gain of $3.11 million.

May 2 — Hyperliquid has launched its first HIP-4 binary prediction market contract, posing the question: “Will Bitcoin’s price be above $78,213 at 2:00 PM ET on May 3?” Against a landscape where Polymarket leads on-chain prediction market traffic and Kalshi partners with Coinbase to target compliant markets, Hyperliquid’s entry isn’t a simple “follow-the-trend” play. Instead, it’s leaning on its native underlying performance edge to rewrite the prediction market playbook, directly competing with top players Polymarket and Kalshi. Late last month, Hyperliquid rolled out its “Outcome Tokens” fee schedule to prep for the prediction market’s mainnet launch. Contracts are free to open, with fees only applied at close or settlement. Traders using the platform’s “quote-aligning tokens” get extra perks: 20% lower maker fees and 50% higher taker rebates. The full fee formula is open to developers. Built on the HIP-4 upgrade, Outcome Tokens let users trade binary real-world event contracts

OpenClaw founder Peter Steinberger has announced the release of Crabbox 0.3.0, per insights from Beating (via Telegram @OneMillion_AI). Key updates focus on boosting observability and debugging for brokered runs, with new features including durable run events, real-time replay via `crabbox attach`, AWS image creation/promotion commands, GitHub browser login, and Cloudflare Access support. It also improves AWS/Blacksmith reliability, adds timing JSON output, refines fallback logic, and strengthens security boundaries. Crabbox is an open-source remote test box tool built around the core concept: *“Warm a box, sync the diff, run the suite.”* Developers and AI agents can spin up a cloud Linux machine with a single command, sync their local dirty work tree, and execute commands remotely with real-time streaming output—supporting one-shot runs or warm box reuse. Leveraging a Go CLI, Cloudflare Worker broker, and cloud instances, it delivers secure credential management, cost control, a

On May 2, Farside Investors data shows this week’s Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $162.8 million. Of these, BNY Mellon’s IBIT recorded a net inflow of $136.6 million, the ARK Blockchain ETF took in $51.0 million, and the Fidelity BTC ETF had a net inflow of $48.5 million.

On May 1, Republican governors of Alabama, South Carolina and Tennessee announced they will push for congressional redistricting favorable to their party. The U.S. is set to hold midterm congressional elections in November. Public opinion analysis indicates the Republican Party faces an uphill battle to retain its narrow House majority, driven by surging U.S. oil prices linked to the Iran conflict and low approval ratings for Republican President Trump. (Golden Finance)

On May 2, DefiLlama data shows Hyperliquid’s April revenue hit $52.22 million—down 14.95% from March’s $61.40 million.

**May 2nd Update** Concerns over Bitcoin’s vulnerability to quantum computing have long revolved around a "Satoshi-related dilemma": If a sufficiently powerful quantum computer emerges, hundreds of millions of bitcoins stored in old wallets with exposed public keys could face theft risk—including ~1.1 million BTC (valued at ~$84 billion) allegedly belonging to anonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto. In mid-April, senior developer Jameson Lopp and five peers formally proposed **BIP-361**, a plan to phase out quantum-vulnerable addresses over five years and freeze coins not migrated by the deadline. But the proposal creates a new trade-off: Satoshi and other long-dormant holders would have to "come forward" publicly or risk losing access to their assets. On Friday, Paradigm General Partner Dan Robinson released a counterproposal to avoid this issue, centered on **Provable Address Control Timestamps (PACTs)**. The core of PACTs: Instead of moving coins, timestamp all ownership