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Standard Chartered Compares ETH to Amazon in 2001, Maintains Year-End Price Target of $4000

2026.05.28 20:53:14

May 28: Standard Chartered’s Global Head of Digital Assets Research, Geoffrey Kendrick, published a report drawing a direct parallel between Ethereum’s current trajectory and Amazon in the aftermath of the 2001 dot-com bubble burst. He referenced Jeff Bezos’s well-known quote: “A stock is not the company, and the company is not the stock.” Kendrick’s analysis notes Ethereum has seen its price drop roughly 57% from its August 2025 peak to hover around $2,000, but stressed the network’s core on-chain metrics are nearing all-time highs—including transaction volume and ETH-based Total Value Locked (TVL). The gap between Ethereum’s fundamentals and its current price is unsustainable, he argues, meaning ETH will eventually align with improvements to its internal metrics. Kendrick reaffirmed price targets of $4,000 by the end of 2026 and $40,000 by the end of 2030. His bullish thesis for Ethereum centers on its dominant position in two fast-growing crypto segments: stablecoins and tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs). Right now, 54% of all stablecoins are deployed on Ethereum, driving about one-third of this year’s on-chain transactions and 60% of total TVL. The total stablecoin market cap is projected to multiply sixfold to roughly $20 trillion by the end of 2028. Meanwhile, Ethereum supports approximately 62% of all tokenized RWAs and 68% of on-chain loans—and this sector is poised for a 50x expansion. Additional tailwinds include the upcoming Ethereum Economic Zone, which will cut reliance on cross-chain bridges and boost the ecosystem’s overall composability. Progress on U.S. crypto market structure legislation is also viewed as a critical driver supporting Ethereum’s long-term activity and ETH’s price performance.
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Gold Price Wipes Out Year-to-Date Gains, International Gold Price Continues to Decline

June 10 — International gold prices extended their decline through European trading on the same day, after a slump during the early Asian session earlier that day. The metal briefly dropped below the $4,200-per-ounce level, wiping out all gains for the year. As of 5:15 p.m. Beijing time, COMEX August gold futures stood at $4,188.70 per ounce, down 2.28%, marking a 3.51% year-to-date drop. Analysts attributed the sharp pullback to last Friday’s better-than-expected U.S. non-farm payroll data, which signals sustained underlying strength in America’s labor market. Amid inflation risks stemming from the Middle East conflict, markets are now leaning heavily toward bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the second half of the year. According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the market is pricing in a nearly 70% probability of at least a 25-basis-point rate hike by year-end. Rate increases reduce the appeal of non-interest-bearing assets like gold, further pressuring prices,

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Polymarket predicts a 36% probability on the event "Bitcoin drops to $55,000 in June."

Quick Crypto Update: On June 10, as Bitcoin briefly dipped below $61,000, prediction platform Polymarket saw a sharp shift in Bitcoin’s June price forecast probabilities. The likelihood of Bitcoin falling to $55,000 by the end of June surged to 36% that day, up from just 4% on June 2. Separately, Polymarket puts a 16% chance on Bitcoin dropping to $50,000 this month, while the probability of Bitcoin rising to $65,000 in June stands at 57%.

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"ETH Long" Buddy Faces Partial Liquidation Again, Cumulative Loss Reaches Nearly $35 Million

June 10: Onchain Lens monitoring shows that amid the market downturn, the trader known as "Big Brother Whale" Huang Licheng’s 25x-leveraged ETH long position has faced partial liquidation once again. He has also closed the majority of his position, resulting in an approximate $35 million loss.

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Tonight, ahead of the CPI data release, the probability of a Fed interest rate hike this year is 68.8%.

On June 10, per data from CME’s FedWatch Tool, the probability of the U.S. Federal Reserve raising interest rates at least once this year stands at 68.8% ahead of tonight’s May consumer price index (CPI) release by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The breakdown of projected rate hike probabilities is as follows: 43.1% for a cumulative 25-basis-point increase, 21.2% for 50 basis points, 4.2% for 75 basis points, and 0.3% for a 100-basis-point hike. The BLS is scheduled to unveil May CPI figures at 20:30 ET tonight. Market consensus forecasts May CPI will rise 0.5% month-over-month (MoM) and 4.2% year-over-year (YoY). Should this expectation hold, it would mark the first time U.S. CPI has returned above the 4% threshold since May 2023, hitting its highest level since April of that year. For core CPI, the market projects a 0.3% MoM increase and a 2.9% YoY growth rate in May.

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The CFTC Proposes New Rule on Prediction Markets, Allowing Most Sports-Related Prediction Markets While Safeguarding Against Market Manipulation

June 10: According to a report in *The Wall Street Journal*, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) plans to propose a new set of rules to regulate prediction markets. The proposed rules would keep most sports-related prediction markets operational while aiming to prevent large-scale market manipulation.

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Pre-market: ?Huang's Stock Picks? set to Open Lower; Intel Down Over 3%

June 10: Bitget data shows that ahead of the U.S. stock market open, stocks in the "Huang Renxun's Strict Selection Stocks" basket were mostly lower, with declines including: Intel (INTC) down 3.33%; Nebius (NBIS) down 3.23%; Nokia (NOK) down 2.99%; Marvell (MRVL) down 2.95%; CoreWeave (CRWV) down 2.88%; IREN (IREN) down 2.87%; Coherent (COHR) down 2.38%; and Corning (GLW) down 2.25%.

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