Arthur Hayes: From Zero to Crypto Billionaire – Strategy, Origins, and Bold Predictions

This is Arthur Hayes, richest trader ever...
he turned $0 in $500,000,000 in 6 years
He predicted tariffs and $BTC $76K dump...
here's his strategy, China insides and 5 crypto predicitons 🧵👇
(#3 will make u millions)
✜ People often try to predict the market and guess the next moves, but no one does it as accurately as @CryptoHayes
✜ From absolute zero to MILLIONAIRE and his own CEX exchange @BitMEX
✜ Biographies and predictions from such people are important for all of us – learn to make use of them:
✜ Arthur Hayes was born in 1985 in Detroit, in a middle-class family
✜ His father worked on an assembly line and his mother was a purchasing manager at General Motors
✜ After high school, Arthur Hayes enrolled at the University of Pennsylvania and in 2008 graduated from the Wharton School of Business with a bachelor's degree
✜ He then went to Hong Kong, where he worked for several years at Deutsche Bank and Citibank as an ETF market maker
✜ Hayes was just gaining momentum in his career when in May 2013 he received a notice of dismissal
✜ After that, he had to familiarize himself with the works of Satoshi Nakamoto and his new passion became cryptocurrencies
✜ He started with arbitrage and was caught up in the famous Mt.Gox exchange hack
✜ He managed to withdraw his money back then, but came to one conclusion – exchanges are the weak point in Bitcoin security
✜ Even then, he began to have ideas about creating his own exchange to close all the gaps
✜ Around that time, he met Ben Delo, a smart British mathematician and programmer
✜ Having found a developer, they began creating what they called a commodity exchange for bitcoin (BitMEX)
✜ From that moment on, Arthur's life began to change drastically for the better
✜ The exchange began offering 100x leverage, from which the company started to grow exponentially
✜ But not everything was so rosy – in 2019, a critic suggested the exchange was engaged in illegal activities
✜ A bit later, regulators brought charges against the founders of BitMEX for illegal operations
✜ Now the issue has been resolved – with the arrival of Trump, he pardoned Arthur Hayes and other BitMEX founders
✜ Arthur himself is now living his best life and owns multi-million capital
✜ He also often makes market predictions with an incredible win rate and here are a few current ones:
✜ In one of his latest interviews, he shared his opinion on Trump’s Trade War
✜ He believes the main goal is to reduce the current account deficit and bring manufacturing back
✜ This reduces demand for U.S. debt – the Fed will have to buy it themselves, which leads again to money printing and a pump in $BTC
✜ In his opinion, Bitcoin didn’t perform well in 2024, but that’s due to investors misinterpreting the situation
✜ Considering the money printing and fiscal dominance:
- Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets
- Will grow along with gold
- Global money supply → Pump → $BTC also Pump
✜ In one of his latest updates, Arthur Hayes wrote that he is gradually accumulating $BTC
✜ His main argument was – turning on the money printer is all they have left in their arsenal
✜ The money printer will allow the Fed to inject a lot of money into the market, from which we’ll see growth
✜ On the frequent debates $ETH vs $SOL, Arthur also shared his personal opinion
✜ Ethereum is currently disliked by the market and that is usually the best time to enter – $ETH has the best risk/reward now
✜ $SOL rose on the meme coin wave and it’s unlikely the trend will repeat at such scale
✜ Hayes also believes we can forget about the catalyst in the form of the U.S. government buying $BTC
✜ People are naive and think “they’ll just print money and buy BTC” but that’s unrealistic
✜ Governments with deficit budgets can’t afford to spend money on buying $BTC when there are social issues
The author believes ETH has bottomed in the $1,500–$2,000 range, mirroring their earlier successful BTC bottom call. With BTC dominance peaking, DXY weakening, and sentiment low, ETH is seen as undervalued late in the cycle. The setup suggests ETH could reclaim $4,000, offering a strong risk-adjusted opportunity.
Astronomer/18 hours ago

A hacker stole 3,520 BTC (~$330M) from an OG Bitcoin holder and rapidly swapped it for Monero (XMR), triggering a 50% price surge. The thief used KuCoin and MEXC to make hundreds of small, high-fee swaps. Experts believe the victim lacked proper security, highlighting risks for legacy crypto holders.
Neel (Crypto Jargon)/18 hours ago

Bitcoins price has once again intersected with the average miner cost of production—a historically reliable indicator of a market bottom. Each past intersection has preceded major price rallies. With current breakeven costs near $60K, analysts expect a significant move up before the end of Q2.
Mitchell/18 hours ago

This week looks interesting with earnings reports from Meta, Amazon, and Apple, alongside crucial PCE inflation and labor market data. The trader plans to de-risk their swing long trade from $77k by taking profits in the current range. Key liquidity levels to watch are $96.8k (main) and $90k (important). The outlook suggests the potential for a third leg up toward $97k, followed by a possible retest of the 4H50EMA as support.
CrypNuevo/2 days ago

Strategy is reshaping Bitcoins scarcity with massive acquisitions, effectively halving Bitcoin supply through balance sheet firepower. By consistently absorbing up to 50% of newly mined BTC, theyre artificially creating a halving, driving Bitcoin’s scarcity ahead of schedule. This will set the global cost of Bitcoin, where access will require paying premiums, and borrowing will be a luxury for the wealthy or nations. Strategy is positioning itself as the dominant financial superpower in the Bitcoin space.
Adam Livingston/2 days ago

The next Altseason may not come from the U.S. but from Japan. While the FED cant inject liquidity, Japans looming QE program could be the catalyst for a crypto rally. After rising bond yields and a strengthening Yen, Japan may devalue its currency and pump liquidity into the market, benefiting crypto assets. With China already injecting liquidity, Japans move will likely drive altcoins higher, just as it did in 2008.
Axel Bitblaze/3 days ago

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