Arthur Hayes: From Zero to Crypto Billionaire – Strategy, Origins, and Bold Predictions
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This is Arthur Hayes, richest trader ever...
he turned $0 in $500,000,000 in 6 years
He predicted tariffs and $BTC $76K dump...
here's his strategy, China insides and 5 crypto predicitons 🧵👇
(#3 will make u millions)

✜ People often try to predict the market and guess the next moves, but no one does it as accurately as @CryptoHayes
✜ From absolute zero to MILLIONAIRE and his own CEX exchange @BitMEX
✜ Biographies and predictions from such people are important for all of us – learn to make use of them:

✜ Arthur Hayes was born in 1985 in Detroit, in a middle-class family
✜ His father worked on an assembly line and his mother was a purchasing manager at General Motors
✜ After high school, Arthur Hayes enrolled at the University of Pennsylvania and in 2008 graduated from the Wharton School of Business with a bachelor's degree

✜ He then went to Hong Kong, where he worked for several years at Deutsche Bank and Citibank as an ETF market maker
✜ Hayes was just gaining momentum in his career when in May 2013 he received a notice of dismissal
✜ After that, he had to familiarize himself with the works of Satoshi Nakamoto and his new passion became cryptocurrencies

✜ He started with arbitrage and was caught up in the famous Mt.Gox exchange hack
✜ He managed to withdraw his money back then, but came to one conclusion – exchanges are the weak point in Bitcoin security
✜ Even then, he began to have ideas about creating his own exchange to close all the gaps
✜ Around that time, he met Ben Delo, a smart British mathematician and programmer
✜ Having found a developer, they began creating what they called a commodity exchange for bitcoin (BitMEX)
✜ From that moment on, Arthur's life began to change drastically for the better

✜ The exchange began offering 100x leverage, from which the company started to grow exponentially
✜ But not everything was so rosy – in 2019, a critic suggested the exchange was engaged in illegal activities
✜ A bit later, regulators brought charges against the founders of BitMEX for illegal operations

✜ Now the issue has been resolved – with the arrival of Trump, he pardoned Arthur Hayes and other BitMEX founders
✜ Arthur himself is now living his best life and owns multi-million capital
✜ He also often makes market predictions with an incredible win rate and here are a few current ones:
✜ In one of his latest interviews, he shared his opinion on Trump’s Trade War
✜ He believes the main goal is to reduce the current account deficit and bring manufacturing back
✜ This reduces demand for U.S. debt – the Fed will have to buy it themselves, which leads again to money printing and a pump in $BTC
✜ In his opinion, Bitcoin didn’t perform well in 2024, but that’s due to investors misinterpreting the situation
✜ Considering the money printing and fiscal dominance:
- Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets
- Will grow along with gold
- Global money supply → Pump → $BTC also Pump
✜ In one of his latest updates, Arthur Hayes wrote that he is gradually accumulating $BTC
✜ His main argument was – turning on the money printer is all they have left in their arsenal
✜ The money printer will allow the Fed to inject a lot of money into the market, from which we’ll see growth

✜ On the frequent debates $ETH vs $SOL, Arthur also shared his personal opinion
✜ Ethereum is currently disliked by the market and that is usually the best time to enter – $ETH has the best risk/reward now
✜ $SOL rose on the meme coin wave and it’s unlikely the trend will repeat at such scale
✜ Hayes also believes we can forget about the catalyst in the form of the U.S. government buying $BTC
✜ People are naive and think “they’ll just print money and buy BTC” but that’s unrealistic
✜ Governments with deficit budgets can’t afford to spend money on buying $BTC when there are social issues
Crypto in 2026 will be driven by new narratives forming early today—from prediction markets and community ICOs to privacy-first apps, neo-banking wallets, DePINs, perp DEXs, and AI as core infrastructure shaping on-chain finance.
HEADBOY/20 hours ago
I built and backtested a Polymarket trading bot for BTC 15-minute markets, replaying high-frequency data to test multiple parameter sets. Results show strong profits with disciplined settings—and heavy losses when parameters are misaligned.
The Smart Ape/20 hours ago
A deep dive into how on-chain data flagged $WHITEWHALE before its 100x move—tracking top holder shifts, smart money inflows, LP supply drains, and rising volume that revealed accumulation and conviction well before price went vertical.
Cryptor/3 days ago
Galaxy Research outlines 26 predictions for 2026, spanning BTC’s path toward $250K, stablecoins overtaking ACH, DEXs reaching 25%+ spot volume, tokenized securities entering DeFi, and institutions driving ETFs, lending, and onchain settlement.
DeFi Warhol/3 days ago
After five years in crypto, these are the lessons that matter most: avoid perps, don’t trust CT narratives, manage risk, take profits, keep stables, build real skills, and simplify. Survival and consistency beat chasing every trend.
fabiano.sol/6 days ago
A practical guide to on-chain metrics that actually matter. Learn how to interpret fees, revenue, TVL, active addresses, bridges, stablecoins, unlocks, and volume—cut through vanity metrics and use on-chain data to make smarter trading decisions.
Dami-Defi/2025.12.24
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