Arthur Hayes: From Zero to Crypto Billionaire – Strategy, Origins, and Bold Predictions
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This is Arthur Hayes, richest trader ever...
he turned $0 in $500,000,000 in 6 years
He predicted tariffs and $BTC $76K dump...
here's his strategy, China insides and 5 crypto predicitons 🧵👇
(#3 will make u millions)

✜ People often try to predict the market and guess the next moves, but no one does it as accurately as @CryptoHayes
✜ From absolute zero to MILLIONAIRE and his own CEX exchange @BitMEX
✜ Biographies and predictions from such people are important for all of us – learn to make use of them:

✜ Arthur Hayes was born in 1985 in Detroit, in a middle-class family
✜ His father worked on an assembly line and his mother was a purchasing manager at General Motors
✜ After high school, Arthur Hayes enrolled at the University of Pennsylvania and in 2008 graduated from the Wharton School of Business with a bachelor's degree

✜ He then went to Hong Kong, where he worked for several years at Deutsche Bank and Citibank as an ETF market maker
✜ Hayes was just gaining momentum in his career when in May 2013 he received a notice of dismissal
✜ After that, he had to familiarize himself with the works of Satoshi Nakamoto and his new passion became cryptocurrencies

✜ He started with arbitrage and was caught up in the famous Mt.Gox exchange hack
✜ He managed to withdraw his money back then, but came to one conclusion – exchanges are the weak point in Bitcoin security
✜ Even then, he began to have ideas about creating his own exchange to close all the gaps
✜ Around that time, he met Ben Delo, a smart British mathematician and programmer
✜ Having found a developer, they began creating what they called a commodity exchange for bitcoin (BitMEX)
✜ From that moment on, Arthur's life began to change drastically for the better

✜ The exchange began offering 100x leverage, from which the company started to grow exponentially
✜ But not everything was so rosy – in 2019, a critic suggested the exchange was engaged in illegal activities
✜ A bit later, regulators brought charges against the founders of BitMEX for illegal operations

✜ Now the issue has been resolved – with the arrival of Trump, he pardoned Arthur Hayes and other BitMEX founders
✜ Arthur himself is now living his best life and owns multi-million capital
✜ He also often makes market predictions with an incredible win rate and here are a few current ones:
✜ In one of his latest interviews, he shared his opinion on Trump’s Trade War
✜ He believes the main goal is to reduce the current account deficit and bring manufacturing back
✜ This reduces demand for U.S. debt – the Fed will have to buy it themselves, which leads again to money printing and a pump in $BTC
✜ In his opinion, Bitcoin didn’t perform well in 2024, but that’s due to investors misinterpreting the situation
✜ Considering the money printing and fiscal dominance:
- Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets
- Will grow along with gold
- Global money supply → Pump → $BTC also Pump
✜ In one of his latest updates, Arthur Hayes wrote that he is gradually accumulating $BTC
✜ His main argument was – turning on the money printer is all they have left in their arsenal
✜ The money printer will allow the Fed to inject a lot of money into the market, from which we’ll see growth

✜ On the frequent debates $ETH vs $SOL, Arthur also shared his personal opinion
✜ Ethereum is currently disliked by the market and that is usually the best time to enter – $ETH has the best risk/reward now
✜ $SOL rose on the meme coin wave and it’s unlikely the trend will repeat at such scale
✜ Hayes also believes we can forget about the catalyst in the form of the U.S. government buying $BTC
✜ People are naive and think “they’ll just print money and buy BTC” but that’s unrealistic
✜ Governments with deficit budgets can’t afford to spend money on buying $BTC when there are social issues
From ICOs to NFTs to memes, every crypto cycle birthed an era where “dumb money” got rich fast. But after nine months of stagnation and no new wealth engine, the casino’s gone quiet. Without a new mania, CT isn’t bearish—it’s just bored.
IcoBeast.eth/3 days ago
By spotting illiquid Harmonix markets on Polymarket, I exploited rebalancing bots chasing USDC rewards. With just $100, I repeatedly trapped their auto-orders between bid-ask spreads—earning $1,500 in two hours, completely risk-free.
toto/5 days ago
Strategy Inc. controls 3.26% of all Bitcoin but faces a liquidity cliff. With $54M cash, $700M annual dividends, collapsing equity premiums, and potential MSCI index exclusion, it risks forced BTC sales that could shatter both its model and the market.
Shanaka Anslem Perera /5 days ago
In just five hours, the SP 500 erased $2T in market cap as Nvidia flipped from +6% to -3% despite record earnings. No headline caused it—extreme leverage, binary AI-driven sentiment, and record margin debt triggered a mechanical, fear-fueled reversal.
The Kobeissi Letter/2025.11.21
The implosion of Stream Finance’s xUSD and its contagion across DeFi wasn’t a hack—it was systemic failure. Recursive leverage, fake transparency, and circular dependencies revealed a harsh truth: DeFi’s “stable” yield is built on fragility and denial.
YQ/2025.11.20
Crypto got everything it asked for—ETFs, regulation, adoption—and prices still fell. The truth: most tokens trade at absurd multiples on casino-style revenue. Until real users and recurring value emerge, this isn’t a bull market—it’s a reality check.
Santiago R Santos/2025.11.19
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