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Cathie Wood: Expects Bitcoin Price to Exceed $1 Million Within 5 Years

2025.08.13 11:32:22

On August 13th, Cathie Wood, the CEO of Ark Invest, stated in an interview with CoinDesk: "ARK's bullish forecast for Bitcoin still firmly anticipates it to exceed $1 million within five years. I believe that the more prominent driving force currently is its transformation into the entry point for institutions into digital assets and its role as a substitute for gold as a store of value, and our stance on this has remained unchanged entirely." ARK had predicted that Ethereum would evolve into an institutional protocol, and this prediction is now coming to fruition: Both Coinbase and Robinhood's L2 solutions are built upon Ethereum; the growth of stablecoins is primarily centered around the Ethereum network; in contrast to Bitcoin, Ethereum's treasury companies offer utility and staking functions; despite Ethereum having higher transaction costs and slower speeds, it provides a higher level of decentralization and security. The ARK ETF will hold a significant position in ETH and has already made an investment in Tom Lee's ETH treasury company BMNR to obtain utility and staking functions.
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang holds nearly 870 million shares, with a net worth of around $200 billion.

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang held approximately 870 million NVIDIA shares as of March 23, 2026, accounting for 3.58% of the company’s total outstanding shares. Valued at NVIDIA’s early-October share price of $231.49, this stake is worth roughly $201 billion. Forbes data shows Huang’s current net worth is around $200 billion, with his personal wealth primarily derived from NVIDIA holdings. Huang is NVIDIA’s largest known individual shareholder. However, under U.S. SEC rules, individual investors holding less than 5% of shares are not required to disclose their stakes, so it is possible that undisclosed individual shareholders hold more than Huang. NVIDIA’s major institutional shareholders holding over 5% of its shares include BlackRock and Vanguard, with stakes of 7.43% and 7.31% respectively. Huang co-founded NVIDIA in 1993. Before NVIDIA’s first stock split in 1999, he held around 2.9 million shares, representing 9.9% of the company. Had he retained all those shares to date, adjusted for stock splits, he would hold nearly 2.8 billion shares, indicating he has since continuously sold off some of his holdings. Additionally, Huang can earn NVIDIA stock through performance awards. NVIDIA paid him a total compensation of $35.5 million in fiscal 2025, consisting of a $1.5 million base salary, a $3 million cash bonus, and approximately $31 million in equity awarded in the form of 936,800 performance stock units (PSUs).

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WSJ: AI Boom Is Creating a New Capital Siphon, Pressuring U.S. Non-Technology Companies

According to a Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report, U.S. equities saw a sharp divergence in September. While the S&P 500 index remained broadly stable and the Nasdaq 100 rose 3%, nearly 80% of stocks in the S&P 500 declined, with an average drop of around 5%. Only two sectors—technology and communication services—out of the 11 major sectors posted gains. In the same period, the Russell 2000 index fell 5%, while the 50 largest-capitalization stocks rose 2%. Stocks that advanced in September were generally linked to AI or data center supply chains. Meanwhile, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield surged from 4.7% to 5.3%. Non-AI firms face a "triple pressure" from interest rates, energy prices, and competition for staff, equipment and capital from AI companies. UBS Chief Economist Arend Kapteyn said U.S. capital expenditures are "effectively zero" when excluding AI tech firms. As financing costs rise, corporate credit spreads have also widened: spreads on CCC-rated low-grade bonds rose more than 1 percentage point in September, exceeding levels recorded during last year’s U.S. tariff shocks. Additionally, Wall Street’s expectations for corporate earnings growth have cooled. Goldman Sachs Head of Asset Allocation Research Christian Mueller-Glissmann noted that earnings and their forecasts grew rapidly in the first half of this year, but earnings growth momentum has weakened since the summer. The report argues that if Treasury yields and oil prices stay at high levels, sectors outside AI may continue to face pressure, corporate earnings growth will slow, and concerns over credit risk could rise further.

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Stonk launches its "Community Coin" model: Holders of tokens including USELESS and PENGU can earn rewards from new meme coins.

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Conditions for a Q4 short squeeze in U.S. stocks are gradually taking shape: massive unwinding of CTA positions, and $1.3 trillion in share buybacks are poised to launch.

According to WSJ, data from institutions including Goldman Sachs shows that U.S. equity CTA (trend-following quantitative fund) positions have seen sharp adjustments recently. Rubner Research notes that the Z-score of these positions has dropped from +2.35 at the end of August to -0.80, a swing of over 3 standard deviations in a month, indicating that previously accumulated long positions have been significantly liquidated. Meanwhile, U.S. companies have authorized around $1.3 trillion in stock buybacks this year, with some repurchase programs set to restart after October 15 as the Q3 earnings blackout period ends. Historical data shows that buyback activity typically intensifies further in November. On the seasonal front, Rubner data shows that since 1930, the S&P 500 has averaged a 5.6% gain in the fourth quarter of U.S. midterm election years, outperforming the 2.9% average for all years' Q4. In tech stocks, Nasdaq 100 futures are approaching the key resistance level of 31,200 points, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) has broken through near-term resistance and is closing in on its all-time high. Goldman Sachs projects that bond issuance by hyperscale cloud providers could reach $420 billion by 2027, though their interest expenses as a share of earnings remain low. Morgan Stanley data shows these companies have net leverage of around 0.4x, with cash equal to roughly 132% of their debt. Additionally, Goldman Sachs noted that previously lowered pricing expectations for traditional storage and High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) are starting to recover, while JPMorgan pointed out that semiconductor hardware earnings prospects remain solid, with strong demand for TSMC's AI accelerators. Another key variable for the fourth quarter remains crude oil. Goldman Sachs believes the global crude oil inventory buffer has thinned significantly, and a $100 per barrel oil price is not inconsistent with current supply-demand balance.

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Head of OpenAI's Security Systems Team Resigns

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Forbes: The narrative of Bitcoin as a "depreciation hedge" is heating up, Trump says a moderate level of inflation can quickly reduce $40 trillion in debt.

According to Forbes, U.S. President Donald Trump told Time magazine in an interview that "a certain level of inflation will also pay off debt very quickly," sparking market debate over whether the U.S. can reduce its real debt burden through nominal economic growth and inflation. The outlet notes that U.S. federal debt has surpassed $40 trillion, more than doubling over the past decade, while interest payments have climbed steadily after Federal Reserve rate hikes. Trump, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and Elon Musk have all previously cited technology-driven economic growth as a critical solution to debt pressure. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s price has rallied roughly 300% from its 2023 low, but remains about 30% below its 2025 all-time high of $126,000. Markets have recently refocused on the "debasement trade"—a strategy where investors hedge against fiat currency purchasing power erosion by allocating to assets like gold and Bitcoin. Forbes cited Bitfire Research’s analysis, which argues that Bitcoin’s long-term value as a hedge against fiat depreciation remains valid, though short-term prices may still be swayed by interest rate policies and U.S. dollar liquidity. Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, shows U.S. prices rose 3.4% year-over-year, still above the Fed’s 2% target. Markets assign a roughly 70% probability that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at its late-October policy meeting.

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