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Analysis: Bitcoin High Holder Supply Shock On-Chain Indicator Shows Signs of Weakness, Key Support Range at $98,000 to $104,000

2025.10.16 14:16:21

On October 16th, on-chain data analyst Murphy shared the market chip distribution status in combination with the Unspent Transaction Output Realized Price Distribution (URPD). At a high level (when the chip was loose at $117,000 and triggered stop-loss), a new massive chip column was generated at $112,000. This indicates that a large amount of funds bought the dip here, accumulating a total of 614,000 BTC, which is also the highest column in the entire chip structure. If BTC continues to oscillate downwards, based on the current chip structure, Murphy predicts that the "maximum pullback range will occur between $98,000 and $104,000." Of course, the actual situation will be affected by macro policies, market sentiment, and unforeseen black swan events.
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