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Venezuela's $60 Billion Bitcoin "Shadow Reserve" to Reshape Global Market Dynamics

3 days ago

On January 5th, analyst Serenity revealed that Venezuela’s Maduro regime has amassed a “shadow reserve” worth over $60 billion in Bitcoin (BTC) and Tether (USDT). Since 2018, the regime has built this stockpile via “gold swaps” and mandating USDT settlement for oil exports to evade international sanctions. Previously, after its “oil-backed cryptocurrency” experiment failed, the Maduro government turned to USDT as a petrodollar substitute for oil sales. When it became clear USDT addresses could still be frozen, Venezuela began converting USDT to BTC. Breakdown of holdings: - BTC from 2018–2020 gold swaps: Converted at an average $5,000/BTC; now worth ~$45B–$50B - BTC from 2023–2025 oil exports: Current value ~$10B–$15B - BTC seized in mining raids (2023–2024): ~$500M Overall, Venezuela’s BTC holdings from 2018 to 2026 total roughly $56B–$67B, translating to over 660,000 BTC (minimum 600,000). Even if Maduro is currently detained, the U.S. does not have full control over these BTC. The upcoming high-stakes interrogation of Maduro is set to reshape the global Bitcoin market landscape.
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