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2026 Kickoff: Crypto Market Shows Resilient Rebound, Bitcoin Leading the Way

4 days ago

January 5, 2026 – The broader cryptocurrency market has gained traction as 2026 gets underway, with Bitcoin and major altcoins rebounding sharply from late-2025’s deep pullback. Bitcoin, which fell 6% cumulatively in the final stretch of 2025 and missed expectations tied to the traditional “four-year cycle,” reclaimed the key psychological level of $90,000 on January 4. Analysts note the $88,000 range emerged as strong support amid thin liquidity during the holiday season, while inflows into spot ETFs have shifted market sentiment from “panic” to “cautious optimism.” As of early Monday, Bitcoin traded above $92,000, with its 100-hour moving average holding a bullish structure. The next key resistance level sits at $95,000. Bitcoin’s stability has also lifted the broader market: Ethereum and XRP, among others, have seen synchronized modest gains as institutional funds begin rebalancing portfolios for the new fiscal year. On the macro front, slowing inflation and the U.S. economy’s resilience are key tailwinds. Though 2025’s anticipated halving rally failed to materialize as expected, the market structure has shifted to institutional leadership, with volatility and emotional trading notably reduced. The expansion of U.S. Treasury-backed stablecoins is viewed as a critical channel for international capital re-entering the crypto ecosystem. Looking ahead to 2026, most analysts remain medium-to-long-term bullish. They expect Bitcoin to gradually target the $120,000–$150,000 range, driven by ongoing institutional allocations and tightening available supply on exchanges. In the short term, the market may trade sideways in January, but as long as prices hold above the key support level of $91,500, the path to challenging all-time highs in Q1 remains open.
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If Bitcoin breaks $92,000, mainstream CEX aggregate short liquidation strength will reach $1.15 billion

On January 9th, Coinglass data shows that if Bitcoin breaks above $92,000, cumulative short liquidations across major centralized exchanges (CEXs) could hit $1.15 billion. Conversely, should Bitcoin drop below $89,000, cumulative long liquidations on these top CEXs may reach $944 million. BlockBeats Note: Liquidation charts do not display the exact number or value of contracts to be liquidated. Instead, the bars represent the relative importance of each liquidation cluster compared to adjacent clusters—i.e., their intensity. In short, the chart indicates how pronounced the market reaction will be if a specific price level is breached. A taller "liquidation bar" signals a more intense response (driven by a liquidity cascade) once that price is hit.

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Rising US Inflation Expectations, Deteriorating Job Prospects Could Deter Fed Rate Move This Month

On January 9th, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s monthly survey revealed U.S. inflation expectations climbed in December, while consumer perceptions of job opportunities hit their lowest level in at least 12.5 years. Key data highlights: - Consumers expect annual inflation to reach 3.4% over the next year, up from 3.2% in November. - The perceived probability of finding a new job after becoming unemployed dropped to 43.1%—the lowest since the bank launched its consumer expectation surveys in mid-2013. The findings underscore a divide among Fed officials: some prioritize inflation risks, while others flag a greater threat of rising unemployment. This split is likely to complicate the central bank’s rate adjustment decisions at its next policy meeting later this month. (Source: FX678)

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Analysis: Bitcoin Key Support Level is Near $89,200, Traders Still Buying the Dip with Leverage

January 9 (CoinDesk) — Bitcoin bounced back to ~$90,500 on Wednesday, after briefly dipping to ~$89,300 and testing support at its 50-day moving average (~$89,200). It marks the crypto’s third straight day of pullback, following a Monday surge to nearly $95k. Crypto trading firm Wintermute cited low trading volume and profit-taking as the main drivers of the decline. “After a post-New Year risk appetite rebound, the market failed to break above the key $95k level—sparking two days of volatile trading, with ETF outflows leading the charge,” said Jake Ostrovskis, Wintermute’s OTC trading lead. “The Fed’s recent downward revision of rate cut expectations has also weighed on the market.” CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a Fed rate cut at its Jan. 28 meeting is now just 11.6%—down from 15.5% a week ago and 23.5% a month prior. Derivatives metrics reveal rising market leverage: Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rates remain positive (~0.09%), meaning longs are paying sh

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