Bitcoin April Historical Return: 8 Rises, 5 Falls since 2013, with an average return of 12.12%

April 1st – Per BBC and Russia Today (RT), Ibrahim Azizi, head of Iran’s Parliamentary National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, issued a statement targeting U.S. President Trump on April 1, saying the Strait of Hormuz will definitely reopen—but not to the U.S. Azizi posted on social media platform X the same day: “Trump has finally realized his ‘regime change’ dream—just in the region’s maritime order! The Strait of Hormuz will definitely reopen, but not to you (the U.S.); it will only be open to countries that comply with Iran’s new laws.” He added the 47-year “hospitality” era is gone for good. BBC noted Azizi was referring to the period since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. (Global Times)

April 1st (CoinDesk) — Former President Donald Trump said the Iran conflict is expected to end within two to three weeks without needing to reach an agreement with Tehran, and he will deliver a national address at 9 p.m. ET Wednesday. Iranian President Pezeshkiyan later told the European Council president that Tehran “has the necessary willingness to end this war” but is seeking assurances against future attacks. On the back of this news, Asia-Pacific stocks surged, while S&P 500 futures also rose. In contrast, the cryptocurrency market reacted more mutedly, with Bitcoin fluctuating between $65,000 and $73,000 throughout the conflict. Alex Blume, CEO of Two Prime, noted three key catalysts that could drive Bitcoin higher in Q2: the launch of Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF, ongoing funding for Bitcoin purchases via Strategy’s STRC preferred stock, and a rapid resolution to the Iran war. The approved Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF has a fee of 14 basis points—lower than the categor

April 1st: Per HyperInsight monitoring (via https://t.me/HyperInsight), in the past 30 minutes, the "Silver Iron Head Air Force" short-focused whale opened a 20x leveraged ETH short position at an average entry price of $2,136. The whale holds 9,353 ETH (~$19.92M) and has an unrealized profit of $60k (6%). Simultaneously, the address has placed sell orders in the $2,180-$2,300 range, planning to add ~$20M in short positions in batches if ETH hits that level. This will push the total potential short size across both moves to nearly $40M, as the whale aims to further suppress prices with a higher average cost.

LookOnChain monitoring data shows that on April 1st, STO’s price jumped from $0.11 to $0.26, marking a 136% surge. A newly created wallet (0x5e2E) has withdrawn 25.5 million STO tokens from Binance over the past 20 hours—valued at roughly $4.85 million at current rates—accounting for 11.32% of the token’s circulating supply.

On April 1st, data from HyperInsight (via its Telegram channel @HyperInsight) and Coinglass shows Brent Oil (BRENTOIL) contract liquidations ranked third across all networks in the past 24 hours. A single Hyperliquid platform address holding a Brent Oil long position triggered multiple large liquidations as oil prices continued to drop, with total losses exceeding $20 million. The first liquidation hit when Brent Oil fell below $101, totaling $17.17 million; later, as prices slipped further below $100, the address triggered another $3.7 million liquidation. These consecutive liquidations mark the largest single-address liquidation across the network in the past 24 hours.