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Greeks.live: Bitcoin's Rebound Breaks $70K Boosting Market Sentiment, But Options Metrics Don't Show Sustained Bullish Expectations

2026.04.08 10:46:27

**April 8th Update** Analytics platform Greeks.live shared on social media: - Trump stated yesterday he would “wipe out Iran,” but today announced a ceasefire agreement. - Bitcoin quickly surged to $72,000, yet **near-term options implied volatility (IV)** remains on the decline—even end-of-cycle option IV has dropped, with skew showing reduced positive skewness. - Meanwhile, as realized volatility (RV) climbed, the volatility risk premium (VRP)—which rebounded sharply yesterday—has fallen again. From an options key indicators lens, Bitcoin’s rebound above $70,000 still delivers meaningful market encouragement. This is primarily because it eases fears of a black swan event triggering a crash, not because of expectations for sustained price gains.
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