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Analyst: Bitcoin Rebound 'Fragile,' Rally Driven by Oil Price Drop Rather Than Strong Buying Pressure

2026.05.04 21:09:56

May 4 (Wednesday) — Macro analyst and Coin Bureau co-founder Nic Puckrin said in a post that Bitcoin’s rebound after recently topping $80,000 “looks shaky.” He noted the rally was mainly driven by falling oil prices (Brent crude dropped below $110 on “Project Freedom” news) — not strong buying support. If Brent surges back above $110, Bitcoin will face heavy downward pressure again. Puckrin added that if Bitcoin can’t hold above $79,500 today, the chance of a sharp rally will fade. He also pointed out gold has lost momentum after a strong 2025; safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar is weakening too, as countries globally look to cut reliance on dollar-denominated assets. On traditional stocks, Puckrin warned AI trading is growing overcrowded. A red flag: industry outsiders (like a Japanese toilet maker) are “jumping into AI” to boost share prices — similar to last year’s trend of companies adding Bitcoin to their treasuries, which could signal a precursor to large-scale sell-offs.
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